Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies Player Prop Picks 12/5/24

This matchup between the Memphis Grizzlies and Sacramento Kings, promises to be an exciting battle between two teams with strong offensive capabilities. The Grizzlies come into the game with a 14-8 record averaging 118.9 points per game, relying on the playmaking abilities of Jaren Jackson Jr., Desmond Bane, and superstar Ja Morant. Memphis’s offense will be key to their success, with the team also boasting solid defensive contributions from Jackson, who averages 1.4 steals per game.

On the other hand, the Kings come in with a 10-12 record and have been a dynamic offensive force, scoring 116.9 points per game. Led by De’Aaron Fox, who averages an impressive 27.2 points per game, and Domantas Sabonis, who provides a double-double with 21 points and 12.6 rebounds per game, Sacramento will look to outpace the Grizzlies with their high-energy play. 

Domantas Sabonis Over 17.5 Points

Domantas Sabonis is having an impressive 2024-25 season, contributing heavily to the Sacramento Kings’ offense. He is currently averaging 21.0 points per game across 36.4 minutes of play, showcasing his efficiency with a 62.4% field goal shooting rate. His three-point shooting is less prominent, as he is only hitting 41.2% from deep with 1.1 makes per game. Sabonis is also excelling at the free-throw line, converting 80.2% of his attempts.

Sabonis has been on fire as of late scoring 20 or more points in five straight games. In his last game, he put up 27 points against the Houston Rockets who have one of the better defenses in the league. He has a favorable matchup in this one going against the Memphis Grizzlies who have been in a lot of high-scoring affairs this season.  I’m going to ride the hot hand and bet on Sabonis to have another big game score in the ball. 

Ja Morant Over 20.5 Points

Ja Morant is averaging 22 points per game this season, displaying a solid offensive presence for the Memphis Grizzlies. He is shooting 46.4% from the field and 16.7% from beyond the arc, though his three-point shooting has been limited. Morant also excels at getting to the free-throw line, where he converts 84.6% of his attempts. In addition to scoring, he averages 4.7 rebounds and 9.3 assists per game, showcasing his playmaking ability​.

Since returning back from injury we’ve seen Ja Morant score over 20 points in three of his four games played.  In his last game, he put up 31 points against the Dallas Mavericks. He has a favorable matchup going against this King’s team that plays at a fast pace has has been exposed on defense against some of the better teams in the league. The fact that his line is only set at 20.5 points is a steal and I can’t pass up on it.

De’Aaron Fox Over 4.5 Rebounds

Through the 2024-25 NBA season, De’Aaron Fox has improved his rebounding efforts, averaging 5.0 rebounds per game. This includes an average of 4.0 defensive rebounds and 1.0 offensive rebounds per game. His increased activity on the boards reflects a career-high rebound rate of 7.6%, showcasing his ability to contribute in more areas of the game. Playing 37.8 minutes per game, his rebounding numbers complement his overall role as a leader for the Sacramento Kings, especially alongside high-rebounding teammates like Domantas Sabonis​.

We’ve seen De’aaron Fox have five or more rebounds in four straight games and just a few nights ago he had an eight-rebound performance against the Minnesota Timberwolves. He has another favorable matchup going against this Memphis Grizzlies team that is allowing 53.4 rebounds per game to opposing teams which is well above the league average. There’s a lot of value in taking the over for Fox’s rebounds in this matchup.