Milwaukee Bucks vs Detroit Pistons Prediction NBA Picks 12/3/24

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Detroit Pistons (9-13) vs Milwaukee Bucks (10-9)

December 3, 2024 at 07:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Detroit Pistons +3.5 — Over/Under: 223.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Detroit Pistons play host to the Milwaukee Bucks at Little Caesars Arena on Tuesday night. Here’s a Milwaukee Bucks vs Detroit Pistons Prediction. This article will include a Milwaukee Bucks vs Detroit Pistons Pick.

Milwaukee Bucks 

The Milwaukee Bucks have been on fire as they’ve reeled off eight wins in their past nine outings and they will be gunning for a seventh straight victory after taking down the lowly Wizards in a 124-114 home win on Saturday. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team with a triple-double of 42 points with 12 rebounds and 11 assists, Damian Lillard added 25 points with 10 assists while Brook Lopez chipped in with 18 points and three blocks. As a team, the Bucks shot 51 percent from the field and 16 of 35 from the 3-point line as they caught fire and scored 35 points in the second quarter to take the early lead before they finished with a flurry to escape with the solid home victory. 

Detroit Pistons 

Meanwhile, the Detroit Pistons have been in a rut as they’ve lost five of their last seven games overall and they will be hoping for a better effort after getting trounced by the struggling 76ers in a 111-96 home defeat on Saturday. Malik Beasley led the team with 19 points, six rebounds, and four assists, Jaden Ivey added 15 points with five assists while Marcus Sasser chipped in with 12 points, four assists, and three steals. As a team, the Pistons shot just 38 percent from the field and 11 of 40 from the 3-point line as they got off to a nightmare start and got outscored by 37-20 in the first quarter and things only got worse in the third quarter where they scored just 17 points to trail by as many as 23 points at one stage. 

Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win

  • The Pistons have lost each of their last 30 home games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Bucks have won each of their last 13 road games against the Pistons.
  • The Pistons have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Bucks have covered the spread in four of their last five games as favorites on the first leg of a back-to-back.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Bucks’ last four road games against Central Division opponents has gone OVER the total points line.
  • Five of the Pistons’ last six games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.

Detroit Pistons Player Facts

  • Tobias Harris ranks 41st amongst qualified players for rebounds per game (7.0) this season.
  • Jaden Ivey ranks 48th amongst qualified players for points per game (18.4) this season.

Milwaukee Bucks Player Facts

  • Bobby Portis ranks 35th amongst qualified players for rebounds per game (7.4) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Pistons rank 28th in the league for opponent steals per game this season (9.9).
  • The Pistons rank 3rd in the league for Q4 opponent points per game this season (25.9).
  • The Bucks rank 2nd in the league for opponent blocks per game this season (3.9).
  • The Bucks rank 29th in the league for free throw percentage this season (73.1%).

Milwaukee Bucks vs Detroit Pistons Prediction

The Bucks are still a little shorthanded with Khris Middleton still out, while the Pistons come into this one with a full roster. The Bucks have yet to fully hit their stride this season, but they’ve still been good enough to win eight of their last nine games, so I’m a little surprised that they aren’t favored by more points against this Pistons team who are struggling at the moment. It wouldn’t shock me if the Pistons pulled off the upset as they’ve been better than they have been over the past two seasons, but the Bucks are just too tempting at this short line the way they’ve been playing.

Peter Tran's Pick: Milwaukee -3.5

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