Toronto FC will visit the New York City FC on Thursday, July 3^rd, 2025, at the Yankee Stadium in this Week 21 Major League Soccer matchup. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Toronto FC vs New York City FC Prediction. We will examine:
New York City FC recent form and player performance
Toronto FC recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving New York City FC
Recent betting trends and streaks involving Toronto FC
Recent betting trends in games played between the Toronto FC and New York City FC
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Toronto FC vs New York City FC game

New York City FC Preview

New York City FC has 28 points this season and are tied with the Chicago Fire on the 8^th place of the Eastern Conference. New York City has an 8-7-4 record this season and have a 7-3 home record. New York City is coming off a 0-1 road defeat by Montreal, and have won only once in their last four games. Over is 4-1 in their 5 games.

New York City is averaging 1.26 goals per game, while allowing 1.05 goals per game. Adrian Alonso Martínez Batista is the top scorer for New York City this season with 8 total goals.

Toronto FC Preview

Toronto has 17 points this season and are tied with Atlanta United on the 13^th place of the Eastern Conference. Toronto has a 4-10-5 record this season and are 2-3-2 on the road. Toronto is coming off a 3-0 home victory over Portland, which ended their previous four-game winless drought. Over is 5-1 in their last 6 games.

Toronto is averaging 1.11 goals per game, while allowing 1.32 goals per game. Federico Bernardeschi is the top scorer for Toronto this season with 4 total goals.

Why New York City FC will win

New York City FC has won seven of its last eight MLS night games at Yankee Stadium following a loss.
New York City FC has won each of its last four MLS games against Toronto FC.
Toronto FC has lost eight of its last nine MLS games following a win.
Toronto FC has lost seven of its last eight MLS night games following a win.
Toronto FC has lost each of its last five MLS games following a win.

Why Toronto FC will win

New York City FC has lost three of its last four MLS night games as a favorite.
The away team has won eight of Toronto FC’s last 11 MLS games.

Total Points Facts

The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has failed to hit in each of New York City FC’s last seven MLS night games.
The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has failed to hit in eight of New York City FC’s last nine MLS games as a favorite.
The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in each of the last five MLS games between New York City FC and Toronto FC at Yankee Stadium.
The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in nine of New York City FC’s last 10 MLS night games at Yankee Stadium.
The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in six of the last eight MLS games between New York City FC and Toronto FC.

Toronto FC vs New York City FC Prediction

In their previous meeting earlier this season, New York City won 1-0 on the road. New York City has won their last 5 overall meetings against Toronto, and their last 4 meetings in New York. Over is 4-1 in their last 5 overall meetings, and 4-0 in their last 4 meetings in New York.
In this Toronto FC vs New York City FC Prediction, New York City FC is coming as -180 home favorites. New York City FC is rightfully favored, as they have more points than Toronto, and have been very strong at home, with 7 wins in 10 home games. New York City FC has an excellent history against Toronto, having won all of their five overall meetings and their last four at home, and they have both a better offense and defense this season. All things point to another win for the home team in this matchup, so take the New York City FC on the moneyline.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: New York City FC -180