Chicago Fire defender Tobias Salquist (14) heads the ball away from FC Cincinnati forward Aaron Boupendza (9) in the second half of the MLS match at TQL Stadium in Cincinnati on Wednesday, July 17, 2024.

FC Cincinnati FC vs Chicago Fire Prediction 07/05/2025 Picks

Pick details

Chicago (8-4-7) vs FC Cincinnati (12-3-5)

July 5, 2025 at 07:30 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: FC Cincinnati -115 / Chicago Fire +240 — Over/Under: 3.25

(Get latest betting odds)

Chicago Fire will visit FC Cincinnati on Saturday, July 5th, 2025, at the TQL Stadium in this Week 21 Major League Soccer matchup. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati Prediction. We will examine:
FC Cincinnati recent form and player performance
Chicago Fire recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving FC Cincinnati
Recent betting trends and streaks involving Chicago Fire
Recent betting trends in games played between the Chicago Fire and FC Cincinnati
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati game

FC Cincinnati Preview

Cincinnatihas 39 points this season and is sitting on the second place of the Eastern Conference. Cincinnatihas a 12-5-3 record this season, and have a 5-1-2 home record. Cincinnatiis coming off a 2-1 road victory against Orlando, and have three consecutive wins. Over is 4-1 in their last 5 games.

Cincinnatiis averaging 1.55 goals per game, while allowing 1.30 goals per game. Ahoueke Denkey is the top scorer for Cincinnatithis season with 8 total goals.

Chicago Fire Preview

Chicago has 28 points this season and are sitting on the 9th place of the Eastern Conference. Chicago has an 8-7-4 record this season and are 6-4 on the road. Chicago is coming off a 3-2 home victory over Charlotte, and are 7-3 in their last 10 games and 4-1 in their last 5 on the road. Over is 10-3 in their last 13 games. 

Chicago is averaging 2.00 goals per game, while allowing 1.79 goals per game. Hugo Cuypers is the top scorer for Chicago this season with 10 total goals.

Why FC Cincinnati will win

Cincinnati has won each of its last three MLS games.
Cincinnati has won three of its last four MLS games against Chicago.
Cincinnati has won 10 of its last 15 MLS games.

Why Chicago Fire will win

The underdog has won each of the last three MLS games between Cincinnati and Chicago.
The underdog has won five of the last seven MLS games between Cincinnati and Chicago.
The away team has won each of Cincinnati’s last four MLS games.
The away team has won each of the last three MLS games between Cincinnati and Chicago.

Total Points Facts

The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in each of Cincinnati’s last four MLS home games.
The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in six of the last eight MLS games between Cincinnati and Chicago.
The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Cincinnati’s last four MLS home games.
The ‘Under 1.5 Goals’ market has hit in four of Cincinnati’s last six MLS home games against Chicago.

Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati Prediction

In their previous meeting earlier this season, Cincinnati won 3-2 on the road. Cincinnati is 3-1 in their last 4 overall meetings against Chicago, but Chicago is 3-1 in their last 4 visits in Cincinnati. Over is 6-2 in their last 8 overall meetings.
In this Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati Prediction, Cincinnati is coming as -115 home favorites. Cincinnati is rightfully favored, as they have more points this season, but Chicago has more road wins than Cincinnati has at home. Both teams have been in excellent form lately, so I see no value on either side. Both teams have been involved in some higher scoring games lately, as they are 14-4 to the over in their last 18 games combined, and their previous meeting this season had 5 total goals. Take the over 3.25 in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Over 3.25

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