Pick details
| MATCHUP | Seattle Mariners | Tampa Bay Rays |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 47-48 | 55-37 |
| Spread | -1.5 161 | +1.5 -197 |
| Moneyline | -108 | -112 |
| Total | Over 7.5 (104) | Under 7.5 (-126) |
| Where | Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, Florida | |
| When | Saturday, July 11, 2026 | |
| Time | 04:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
In this article, we will formulate a Mariners vs Rays Prediction for this MLB matchup on Saturday, July 11th in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Tampa Bay Rays Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays have a 55-37 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the AL East. They have a 34-14 home record and are coming off a 7-2 home win against the Mariners. They will face the Red Sox and the Blue Jays next.
The Tampa Bay Rays have a .259 batting average this season, .334 OBP and .401 Slugging percentage. Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has a 3.79 ERA and 1.17 WHIP. Yandy Diaz is the team’s best hitter with a .321 batting average. Jonathan Aranda leads the team in RBI with 61, while Junior Caminero adds a team-high 28 home runs.
Griffin Jax (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Tampa Bay Rays, and he has a 4-6 record, 3.60 ERA and 1.22 WHIP.
Seattle Mariners Preview
The Seattle Mariners have a 47-48 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the AL West. They have a 20-28 away record and are coming off a 2-7 road loss against the Rays. They will face the Giants and the Reds next.
The Seattle Mariners have a .230 batting average this season, .310 OBP and .379 Slugging percentage. Seattle’s pitching staff has a 3.61 ERA and 1.18 WHIP. Randy Arozarena is the team’s best hitter with a .286 batting average. Cole Young leads the team in RBI with 43, while Dominic Canzone adds a team-high 15 home runs.
Logan Gilbert (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Seattle Mariners, and he has a 7-5 record, 3.19 ERA and 0.95 WHIP.
Mariners vs Rays Prediction
The Rays have won their last four meetings against the Mariners, all of them in Tampa and their last six meetings have gone over the total.
In this Mariners vs Rays, the Rays are coming as -110 home favorites. I like the Mariners in a bounce-back spot today with Logan Gilbert on the mound, who has been elite this season and has given up one run or less in four of his last five starts. He has been far better on the road with a 1.73 road ERA, while Griffin Jax has given up 3 runs in each of his last two starts. The Mariners have a superior bullpen to follow up Gilbert and I expect them to win this one on the road.
