San Francisco Giants vs New York Mets Prediction 07/25/2025 Picks

The New York Mets are visiting the San Francisco Giantson Friday, July 25^th at the Oracle Park in the opening game of this series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants Prediction. We will examine:

The San Francisco Giants recent form and player performance

The New York Mets recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the San Francisco Giants

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New York Mets

Recent betting trends in games played between the New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants game

San Francisco Giants Preview

The San Francisco Giants have a 54-49 record this season and are sitting on the third place of the NL West. They have a 28-20 home record and are 48-52 in over/under. They are coming off a 9-3 road victory over the Braves, and have back-to-back wins. Over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 games.

The Giants have a .233 batting average this season, .311 OBP and .376 Slugging percentage. San Francisco’s pitching staff has a 3.60 ERA and 1.27 WHIP.  Heliot Ramos leads the Giants with 1904 hits and is the team’s best hitter, with a .267 batting average. Wilmer Flores leads the team in RBI with 59, while Willy Adames adds a team-high 15 home runs.  

Logan Webb (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Giants, and he has a 9-7 record, 3.08 ERA and 1.21 WHIP.

New York Mets Preview

The New York Mets have a 59-44 record this season and are sitting on the first place of the NL East. The Mets have a 22-28 road record and are 45-54 in over/under. They are coming off a 6-3 home victory over the Angels, and have four consecutive wins. Under is 5-2-1 in their last 8 games.

The Mets have a .242 batting average this season, .322 OBP and .411 slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has a 3.57 ERA and 1.30 WHIP.  Pete Alonso leads the Mets with 104 hits, adding a team-high 80 RBI and leads the team in batting average with .272. Juan Soto adds team-high 24 home runs.

Clay Holmes (R) will take the mound for the Mets, and he has an 8-5 record, 3.48 ERA and 1.27 WHIP.

Why the San Francisco Giants will win

• The Mets have lost eight of their last nine road games against National League opponents.
• The Giants have won nine of their last 10 night games against the Mets following a win.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games against National League opponents.
• The Giants have covered the run line in each of their last six Friday games against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight road games against National League opponents.
• The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games at Oracle Park against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The underdogs have won each of the last three games between the Mets and Giants.
• The Giants have lost each of their last five games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last 12 games against NL West opponents.
• The Giants have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as home favorites against National League opponents.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mets have won the first inning in three of their last four night games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in four of their last five night games against opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Mets’ last eight night games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Eight of the Giants’ last 10 games as favorites against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Giants’ last six home games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last six games as underdogs against National League opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Giants rank 1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (88).
• The Giants rank T28th in the league for steals this season (46).
• The Mets rank 2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (90).
• The Mets rank 3rd in the league for ERA this season (3.57).

New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants Prediction

The Giants are 4-2 in their last 6 meetings against the Mets, and are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in San Francisco. Over is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings.

In this New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants Prediction, the Giants are coming as -135 home favorites. The Mets have a better overall record, but the Giants have been very strong at home, while the Mets are below average on the road. Despite his recent struggles, Logan Webb remains elite for the Giants, and he has been even better at home with a 2.23 home ERA. The Giants have the second-best bullpen in the league, while both teams score almost the same number of runs per game against right-handed pitching. The edge goes to the home favorite in this one, so take the San Francisco Giants to get the job done at home in a good price.