Rays vs Reds Prediction 07/27/2025 Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Rays vs Reds prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, July 27th at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 53-52 this year after they lost the first two games in this series by scores of 2-7 and 2-6. In their game two loss, Tampa Bay tied the game at two in the seventh inning, but allowed the last four runs in the game for the defeat. The Rays recorded five hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Diaz and Lowe, who both had one RBI in the loss. Tampa Bay started Pepiot, who allowed two hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Baker picked up the loss in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Rays lost two out of three against the White Sox, but did win two out of three against the Orioles before that. Tampa Bay has lost five of its last six games, and they are currently fourth in the AL East standings. The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 3.89 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 487 runs with a .256 batting average and a .321 on-base percentage this season. Junior Caminero has led Tampa Bay with 26 home runs and 68 RBIs, while Yandy Diaz has added 18 home runs and 61 RBIs for the Rays this year. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Shane Baz, who is 8-6 with a 4.66 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP over 114.0 innings pitched this year. 

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 55-50 this season after they won game two by a score of 6-2 on Saturday night. Cincinnati blew a 2-1 lead in the seventh, but they rallied in the bottom of the inning and pulled away in the win. The Reds recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by De La Cruz, who went 2-4 with two RBIs in the win. Cincinnati started Abbott, who allowed two hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings, while Ashcraft picked up the win, despite allowing one earned run. 

Prior to this series, the Reds lost two out of three against the Nationals, but did win two out of three against the Mets before that. Cincinnati has won three games in a row, and they are currently third in the NL Central standings. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.88 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .234 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 483 runs with a .248 batting average and a .321 on base percentage this season. Elly De La Cruz has led Cincinnati with 18 home runs and 67 RBIs, while Spencer Steer has added 11 home runs and 41 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Brady Singer, who is 7-8 with a 4.84 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP over 102.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Reds will beat the Rays

• The Rays have lost each of their last six games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Reds have won eight of their last nine games at Great American Ball Park against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games after playing the previous day.
• The Reds have covered the run line each of their last five games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Reds have led after 5 innings in three of their last four day games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Rays will beat the Reds

• The Rays have won each of their last four day games against National League opponents following a road loss.
• The Reds have lost 11 of their last 13 day games against AL East opponents.
• The Rays have covered the run line in eight of their last nine day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line each of their last six Sunday games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Reds’ last 10 day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Fourteen of the Rays’ last 16 games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last nine Sunday day games against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Rays’ last 11 road games against National League opponents.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Gavin Lux has hit a home run in each of his two previous appearances in day games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
• Brady Singer has recorded five or more strikeouts in nine of his last 12 home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Elly De La Cruz has recorded two or more hits in each of the Reds’ last seven home games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one Double in each of the Reds’ last three games at Great American Ball Park.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Yandy Diaz has hit a home run in three of the Rays’ last four road games against the Reds.
• Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in 15 of his last 16 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.

Rays vs Reds Prediction 

Cincinnati comes into this contest looking to complete the series sweep, and they have outscored their opponents by a total of 18-4 in their last three games. The Reds are 30-22 at home this season, while the Rays are 22-24 on the road. Tampa Bay continues to fall further behind in the AL East, and they are starting Baz, who has allowed 8, 1, 3, and 3 earned runs in his last four starts. The Reds are going with Singer, who has allowed 7, 3, 2, 2, and 4 earned runs in his last five outings. Take the over here.