Nationals vs Marlins Prediction 5/9/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Nationals vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, May 9th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 19-20 this season after they won game one by a score of 3-2 on Friday night. Washington scored three runs in the top of the first inning, which was enough to get the very close win. The Nationals recorded six hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Young, who went 1-3 with one home run and two RBIs. Griffin allowed four hits and one earned run over 7.0 innings for the win, while Poulin picked up the save. Prior to this series, Washington won two out of three against the Twins, but lost two out of three against the Brewers before that. 

This season, Washington has a 4.73 ERA with a 1.42 WHIP and a .254 opponent batting average, while they have scored 208 runs with a .241 batting average and a .323 on base percentage. CJ Abrams has led the Nationals with nine home runs and 34 RBIs, while James Wood has added 10 home runs and 27 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Zack Littell, who is 1-4 with a 7.24 ERA and a 1.61 WHIP over 32.1 innings pitched this season. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 17-22 this year after they lost game one by a score of 3-2 last night. Miami cut the deficit to 3-2 in the bottom of the first inning, but they failed to score over the last eight innings for the loss. The Marlins recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Edwards, who went 1-3 with one home run and one RBI. Snelling allowed five hits and three earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Phillips threw 2.1 scoreless innings in relief. Prior to this series, Miami lost two out of three against the Orioles and three out of four against the Phillies before that. 

This season, Miami has a 4.03 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .223 opponent batting average, while they have scored 163 runs with a .246 batting average and a .325 on base percentage. Liam Hicks has led the Marlins with nine home runs and 34 RBIs, while Otto Lopez has added four home runs and 16 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Janson Junk, who is 2-3 with a 2.82 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP over 38.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Marlins have won five of their last six day games following a home loss.
• The Nationals have lost seven of their last nine games against National League opponents following a win.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games as underdogs against National League opponents following a road win.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in five of their last six day games following a home loss.

Why the Washington Nationals will win

• The Nationals have won five of their last six games as road underdogs.
• The Marlins have lost four of their last five games as home favorites.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as road underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six home games.
• The Nationals have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games at LoanDepot Park.
• The Nationals have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Nationals’ last four games as underdogs against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Marlins’ last three games as favorites against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Nationals’ last nine games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of Janson Junk’s last five home appearances as a starter.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Xavier Edwards has hit a home run in two of the Marlins’ last three home games against the Nationals.
• Otto Lopez has recorded two or more hits in five of his last six home appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• CJ Abrams has hit a home run in three of the Nationals’ last eight road games against NL opponents.
• CJ Abrams has recorded at least one hit in each of the Nationals’ last 14 games as road underdogs against NL opponents.

Nationals vs Marlins Prediction 

Washington comes into this matchup on a three game winning streak and they have allowed two runs in three of their last five games, which is a major improvement. The Nationals are 13-7 on the road this year, while the Marlins are 12-12 at home. Miami has lost four of their last five games, but they are starting Junk, who has allowed one earned run in his last 16.1 innings. Washington is going with Littell, who has allowed 4+ earned runs in three of his last four starts. Take the Marlins at home here.

David Racey's Pick: Marlins ML