Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals Prediction 8/28/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Marlins vs Nationals Prediction for this MLB matchup on Friday, August 28th in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Washington Nationals Preview

The Washington Nationals have a 63-73 record this season and sit in fourth place in the NL East. They have a 29-38 home record and are coming off a 7-1 home win against the Rockies. They will face the Braves and the Dodgers next.

The Washington Nationals have a .248 batting average this season, .325 OBP, and .431 slugging percentage. Washington’s pitching staff has a 4.69 ERA and 1.39 WHIP. CJ Abrams is the Nationals’ best hitter with a .274 batting average, while leading the team in RBI with 92. James Wood adds a team-high 30 home runs.

Jackson Kent (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals, has a 0-2 record, 8.03 ERA, and 2.11 WHIP.

Miami Marlins Preview

The Miami Marlins have a 68-66 record this season and sit in third place in the NL East. They have a 26-39 road record and are coming off a 4-0 home win against the Red Sox. They will face the Royals and the Cubs next.

The Miami Marlins have a .249 batting average this season, .326 OBP, and .399 slugging percentage. Miami’s pitching staff has a 3.88 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Otto Lopez is the Marlins’ best hitter with a .308 batting average, while leading the team in RBI with 59. Heriberto Hernandez adds a team-high 20 home runs.

Eury Perez (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins, has a 7-9 record, 3.17 ERA, and 1.11 WHIP.

Miami Marlins @ Washington Nationals Betting Trends: August 28, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Jackson Kent      Record this season: 0-2      ERA: 8.03
• Home Record: 0-0
• Last 5 against Marlins: 0-1

Why the Washington Nationals will win

• The Marlins have lost each of their last six road games against NL East opponents.
• The underdogs have won three of the Marlins’ last four games at Nationals Park.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in 14 of their last 15 games as underdogs against the Marlins following a win.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight road games against NL East opponents following a home win.
• The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six road games against NL East opponents.
• The Nationals have won the first inning in seven of their last eight home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Nationals have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Eury Perez      Record this season: 7-9      ERA: 3.17
• Road Record: 2-5
• Last 5 against Nationals: 1-1

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Marlins have won each of their last eight games against the Nationals.
• The Nationals have lost 16 of their last 17 games against NL East opponents.
• The Marlins have covered the run line each of their last six road games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last nine games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Nationals have lost the first inning in four of their last five games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in eight of their last nine games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Marlins’ last nine games as favorites against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Nationals’ last five night games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in 12 of the Marlins’ last 13 night games against NL opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Nationals’ last six night games.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• Daylen Lile has hit a home run in three of the Nationals’ last four games.
• Jacob Young has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances against the Marlins.
• Nasim Nunez ranks 1st in the league in Steals (43) this season.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Eury Perez has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Eury Perez has recorded six or more strikeouts in nine of his last 10 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Xavier Edwards has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last eight road games.
• Joe Mack has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances with the Marlins as road favorites.
• Otto Lopez ranks 2nd in the league in Hits (160) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Nationals rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (704).
• The Nationals rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (188).
• The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for triples this season (28).
• The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (140).

Marlins vs Nationals Prediction

The Marlins have won their last eight meetings against the Nationals, including their last three visits in Washington.

In this Marlins vs Nationals Prediction, the Marlins are coming as -140 road favorites. I like the Marlins in this one as they have a huge pitching edge with the red-hot Eury Perez on the mound, who has given up just one run across his last three starts. On the flip side, Jackson Kent has been atrocious in his three starts this season with an 8.03 ERA, and 2.11 WHIP and the Nationals’ bullpen has been the fourth-worst in baseball this season. Take the Marlins in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Miami Marlins ML