Mets vs Marlins Prediction 5/24/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Mets vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, May 24th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 22-30 this year after they lost the first two games in this series by scores of 1-2 and 1-4. In game two, New York allowed the first four runs in the game and never really had a chance in the loss. The Mets recorded three hits in the game and they were led by Vientos, who went 2-3 with one RBI. Peralta allowed eight hits and four earned runs over 7.0 innings for the loss, while Pintaro threw a scoreless eighth inning. Prior to this series, New York split four games with the Nationals and won two out of three against the Yankees. 

This season, New York has a 3.84 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP and a .233 opponent batting average, while they have scored 206 runs with a .228 batting average and a .293 on base percentage. Mark Vientos has led the Mets with six home runs and 23 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added five home runs and 27 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Christian Scott, who is 0-0 with a 4.12 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP over 19.2 innings pitched this year. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 24-29 this season after they won game two by a score of 4-1 on Saturday afternoon. Miami took the lead in the second inning and never looked back, but they allowed a run in the ninth to lose the shutout. The Marlins recorded eight hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Hicks, who went 2-4 with two home runs and two RBIs. Meyer allowed one hit and zero earned runs over 7.0 innings for the win, while Nardi allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, Miami lost three out of four against the Braves and two out of three against the Rays. 

This season, Miami has a 4.26 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .227 opponent batting average, while they have scored 227 runs with a .243 batting average and a .319 on base percentage. Liam Hicks has led the Marlins with 11 home runs and 44 RBIs, while Otto Lopez has added four home runs and 21 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Tyler Phillips, who is 0-0 with a 1.20 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP over 30.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last eight Sunday games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The Marlins have won each of their last four home games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight Sunday games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in four of their last five games as home underdogs against the Mets.
• The Marlins have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven games against the Mets at LoanDepot Park.
• The Marlins have led after 3 innings in each of their last three day games.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The favorites have won each of the Marlins’ last seven games.
• The Marlins have lost each of their last seven games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as underdogs.
• The favorites have covered the run line in six of the Marlins’ last seven games at LoanDepot Park.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the last six games between the Mets and Marlins have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Ten of the Mets’ last 11 day games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 12 of the Marlins’ last 13 games as home underdogs against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Mets’ last eight day games.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Xavier Edwards has hit a home run in four of the Marlins’ last nine home games.
• Owen Caissie has recorded a hit in each of his last five appearances after playing the previous day.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Juan Soto has hit at least one home run in three of the Mets’ last four road games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 19 appearances against the Marlins.

Mets vs Marlins Prediction 

Miami comes into this matchup looking to complete the series sweep, but they have allowed 8+ runs in three of their last five games. The Marlins are 17-15 at home this year, while the Mets are 11-17 on the road. New York has lost four of their last five games and they have scored just four runs in their last three. The Mets are starting Christian Scott, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four outings, while Tyler Phillips should only pitch a few innings. I don’t love either starter, but I like the Mets pitching plan a little better. Take New York to win here.

David Racey's Pick: Mets ML