Cubs vs Blue Jays Prediction 8/14/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Cubs vs Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, August 14th at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 68-51 this year after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 1-5 and 4-1. In their game two win, Chicago had their lead cut to 2-1 in the sixth inning, but they added two insurance runs for the victory. The Cubs recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Busch, who went 1-3 with one home run and two RBIs in the win. Chicago started Horton, who allowed one hit and one earned run over 5.2 innings for the win, while Palencia picked up the save. 

Prior to this series, the Cubs lost two out of three against the Cardinals and two out of three against the Reds. Chicago has lost five of their last eight games and they are currently second in the NL Central standings. The Chicago pitching staff has a 3.87 ERA with a 1.21 WHIP and a .245 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 604 runs with a .252 batting average and a .321 on base percentage this season. Seiya Suzuki has led Chicago with 27 home runs and 85 RBIs, while Pete Crow-Armstrong has added 27 home runs and 78 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Matthew Boyd, who is 11-5 with a 2.45 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP over 135.2 innings pitched this year. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 70-51 this season after they lost game two on Wednesday night. Toronto couldn’t get much going at the plate in this game and they only managed one run in the sixth inning. The Blue Jays recorded two hits in the game and they were led by Guerrero Jr., who went 1-4 with one RBI in the loss. Toronto started Gausman, who allowed three hits and two earned runs over 7.0 innings for the loss, while Fisher allowed two earned runs in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Blue Jays lost two out of three against the Dodgers, but did sweep the Rockies in three games before that. Toronto has won five of their last eight games and they are currently first in the AL East standings. The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.25 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .240 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 589 runs with a .269 batting average and a .338 on base percentage this season. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has led Toronto with 19 home runs and 65 RBIs, while Addison Barger has added 18 home runs and 59 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Max Scherzer, who is 2-2 with a 4.21 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 47.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Cubs will beat the Blue Jays

• The underdogs have won six of the Blue Jays’ last eight games at Rogers Centre.
• The Blue Jays have lost four of their last six games as home favorites.
• The Cubs have covered the run line in each of their last seven Thursday road games.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four day games against National League opponents following a home loss.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four home games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Cubs’ last four road games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Blue Jays’ last six day games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Blue Jays’ last five games as favorites.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Cubs’ last eight Thursday day games against American League opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Daulton Varsho has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Blue Jays as home favorites against NL opponents.
• Max Scherzer has recorded six or more strikeouts in 31 of his last 35 appearances in day games against NL teams that held a winning record.
• Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in 17 of his last 18 appearances in day games.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded a Double in three of the Blue Jays’ last four games as favorites.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

• Matthew Boyd has recorded five or more strikeouts in 10 of his last 11 appearances against AL opponents.
• Ian Happ has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last six day games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Matthew Boyd has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Justin Turner has hit a home run in three of his last eight road appearances against the Blue Jays.

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Cubs vs Blue Jays Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this matchup with very similar records on the season, but neither has been great recently, so this is a big game for each side. The Blue Jays are 39-20 at home this year, while the Cubs are 32-29 on the road. Chicago is all of a sudden 7.5 games behind Milwaukee in the Central and they are starting Boyd, who has allowed 3, 0, 5, 0, and 0 earned runs in his last five starts. The Blue Jays are going with Scherzer, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in two straight outings. I think Boyd has been very good for most of the season and I just don’t trust Scherzer at this stage of his career. Take the Cubs here.