Cincinnati Reds vs Washington Nationals Prediction 8/7/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Reds vs Nationals Prediction for this MLB matchup on Friday, August 7th in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Washington Nationals Preview

The Washington Nationals have a 56-61 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the NL East. They have a 23-34 home record and are coming off a 3-7 home loss against the Phillies. They will face the Cubs and the Mets next.

The Washington Nationals have a .250 batting average this season, .327 OBP and .439 Slugging percentage. Washington’s pitching staff has a 4.78 ERA and 1.40 WHIP. CJ Abrams is the team’s best hitter with a .287 batting average, adding a team-high 88 RBI. James Wood adds a team-high 30 home runs.

Cade Cavalli (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Washington Nationals, and he has a 8-5 record, 3.52 ERA and 1.29 WHIP.

Cincinnati Reds Preview

The Cincinnati Reds have a 56-58 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the NL Central. They have a 27-27 away record and are coming off a 6-5 home win against the Athletics. They will face the White Sox and the Marlins next.

The Cincinnati Reds have a .230 batting average this season, .310 OBP and .399 Slugging percentage. Cincinnati’s pitching staff has a 4.42 ERA and 1.40 WHIP. Elly De La Cruz is the team’s best hitter with a .276 batting average. Sal Stewart leads the team in RBI with 87 and adds a team-high 25 home runs.

The Nationals have not yet announced a starting pitcher for this game.

Cincinnati Reds @ Washington Nationals Betting Trends: August 7, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Cade Cavalli      Record this season: 8-5      ERA: 3.52
• Home Record: 3-2
• Last 5 against Reds: 0-1

Why the Washington Nationals will win

• The Nationals have won each of their last six games against NL Central opponents following a road loss.
• The Reds have lost five of their last six games at Nationals Park.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last six games against NL Central opponents following a road loss.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games following a win.
• The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four road games.
• The Nationals have led after 5 innings in four of their last five home games.
• The Nationals have won the first inning in each of their last three night games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: TBD

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

• The Nationals have lost eight of their last nine games.
• The Reds have won each of their last four games.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line each of their last four home games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Reds have covered the run line in five of their last six road games against NL East opponents.
• The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven games.
• The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven games.
• The Reds have won the first inning in four of their last five night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Reds’ last nine night games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Nationals’ last six games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Nationals’ last six night games.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Reds’ last four games against NL East opponents.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• Daylen Lile has recorded at least one hit in each of the Nationals’ last eight night games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Cade Cavalli has recorded six or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Cade Cavalli has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Andres Chaparro has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 11 road games against NL opponents.
• Jose Trevino has hit at least one home run in each of his last two appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Nationals rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (623).
• The Nationals rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (168).
• The Reds rank 30th in the league for hits this season (874).
• The Reds rank 30th in the league for batting average this season (.230).

Reds vs Nationals Prediction

The Nationals are 6-2 in their last 8 meetings against the Reds and are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Washington.

I will ride the hot hand and take the Reds in this one, as they are 6-1 in their last 7 games and will be facing a struggling Nationals squad that has been in terrible form, with just one win in its last nine games. On top of that, the Nationals have been far weaker at home and both their offense and their bullpen have been underperforming lately, with the Reds being far better both in hitting and in bullpen ERA in their last 10 games. Take the Reds to win this one on the road.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Cincinnati Reds ML