Chicago White Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction MLB Picks 9/3/24

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 80-59 this season and they have won three of their last four games. Baltimore won game one in this series by a score of 13-3 on Monday. Prior to this series, the Orioles won two out of three against the Rockies, lost two out of three against the Dodgers, and split four games with the Astros. Baltimore is 6-4 in their last 10 games and they are battling with the Yankees in the AL East. 

The Baltimore pitching staff has a 3.93 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .238 opponent batting average. The Orioles' offense has scored 697 runs with a .252 batting average and a .317 on-base percentage. Gunnar Henderson is batting .276 with 34 home runs and 83 RBI’s for the Orioles this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Nick Nastrini, who is 0-6 with a 7.04 ERA and a 1.73 WHIP over 30.2 innings pitched this year. Nastrini has allowed one earned run in each of his last two starts. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Cade Povich, who is 1-7 with a 6.58 ERA and a 1.73 WHIP over 52.0 innings pitched this season. Povich has allowed five earned runs in each of his last two starts against the Dodgers and Astros. 

Why the White Sox will cover the run line

• The Orioles have lost six of their last seven night games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards following a win.
• The road team has won five of the last six games between the White Sox and Orioles.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven night games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards following a home win.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in four of the Orioles' last five games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Orioles' last four games as favorites against AL Central opponents has gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the White Sox's last seven games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the White Sox's last five night games against American League opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Orioles' last four night games against American League opponents.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• James McCann has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• James McCann has recorded a Single in nine of his last 10 home appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• James McCann has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Orioles' last eight games against AL Central opponents at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
• Ryan O'Hearn has recorded a Double in each of the Orioles' last three games against AL Central opponents.
• Gunnar Henderson has hit a home run in each of the Orioles' last four games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Gunnar Henderson has scored at least one run in each of the Orioles' last seven games against AL Central opponents at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts

• Yoan Moncada has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Yoan Moncada has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 12 Tuesday appearances.
• Gavin Sheets has recorded at least one RBI in five of the White Sox's last six games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
• Luis Robert has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Andrew Vaughn has hit a home run in three of the White Sox's last four Tuesday night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Max Stassi has scored at least one run in each of his last four road appearances against the Orioles.

Chicago White Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 

Baltimore absolutely dominated game one in this series and they will look to pick up another win here. The Orioles are 40-30 at home, while the White Sox are just 13-54 at home. Baltimore has to take advantage of this series, as they are neck and neck with the Yankees in the AL East. Neither starting pitcher has very good numbers on the season, but Nastrini has pitched better in his last two starts. I don’t love this big run line, but I don’t trust Povich, so I will take the White Sox +2.5 here.