Pick details
| MATCHUP | Massachusetts Minutemen | Buffalo Bulls |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 4-2 | 3-3 |
| Spread | +7 -112 | -7 -108 |
| Moneyline | +220 | -270 |
| Total | Over 42.5 (-105) | Under 42.5 (-115) |
| Where | Broadview Stadium, Buffalo, NY | |
| When | Saturday, October 17, 2026 | |
| Time | 01:00 PM EDT | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
In this article we will formulate a UMass vs Buffalo prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, October 17th at Broadview Stadium in Buffalo, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 7 matchup.
UMass Minutemen Betting Preview
The UMass Minutemen are 4-2 (1-2) this season after they lost to Miami (OH) by a score of 20-19 in their last game. UMass trailed 14-10 at halftime, but they scored with one second left in the fourth, before getting stopped on a two point conversion for the loss. The Minutemen out gained Miami by a total of 319-260, went 4-15 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 1-0 in the game. Aedan McCarthy threw for 171 yards, while TY Harding caught nine passes for 91 yards. Curtis Kimmons IV rushed six times for 35 yards and one score in the loss.
Prior to that game, UMass lost to Eastern Michigan by a score of 38-14, but did defeat Sacramento State by a score of 35-6 before that. The Minutemen have scored 29.7 points per game with 180.8 passing yards and 158.3 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 18.2 points against per game this season. William Watson III is the starting quarterback, but he is doubtful with an injury.
Buffalo Bulls Betting Preview
The Buffalo Bulls are 3-3 (1-1) this year after they defeated Toledo by a score of 23-8 in their last game. Buffalo led 13-0 at halftime and they added 10 points in the second half for the upset win. The Bulls out gained Toledo by a total of 351-308, went 8-21 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 3-0 in the game. Jason Wright threw for 171 yards, while Dwayne Early Jr caught four passes for 77 yards. Messiah Burch rushed 17 times for 137 yards and one score in the win.
Prior to that game, Buffalo lost to Western Michigan by a score of 20-17, but did defeat Robert Morris by a score of 31-28 before that. The Bulls have scored 20.8 points per game with 162.7 passing yards and 156.2 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 26.8 points against per game this season. Jason Wright has thrown for 726 yards with four touchdowns and three interceptions this year.
Why the Buffalo Bulls will win
- Massachusetts has lost 12 of its last 13 games against conference opponents.
- The favorite has won 26 of Massachusetts’ last 29 games.
- Massachusetts has failed to cover the spread in nine of its last 11 October games as a road underdog.
- Buffalo has won the first half in each of its last three games in October.
Why the Massachusetts Minutemen will win
- Buffalo has lost each of its last four games against conference opponents at Broadview Stadium.
- The road team has won each of Massachusetts’ last three games.
- Buffalo has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- The underdog has covered the spread in six of Buffalo’s last seven games at Broadview Stadium.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of Massachusetts’ last eight games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of Buffalo’s last three October games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Buffalo Bulls Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 7, Chance Morrow leads the Mid-American Conference for receptions (34) this season.
Massachusetts Minutemen Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 7, Jahmad Harmon leads the Mid-American Conference for interceptions (3) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Buffalo ranks T127th among FBS teams for interceptions this season (1).
- Buffalo ranks 126th among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (162.7).
- Massachusetts ranks T18th among FBS teams for H1 opponent points per game this season (8.0).
- Massachusetts ranks 121st among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage against this season (73.3).
UMass vs Buffalo Prediction
Buffalo comes into this matchup after a big upset win over Toledo last week and they have played very well in their last two games. The Bulls really struggled to start the season, but their defense has been much improved recently. UMass has dropped two in a row, but they were a two point conversion away from winning last week. The Minutemen have scored 19 or fewer in back to back games and they are really missing their starting QB. Take Buffalo to cover at home.
