Pick details
| MATCHUP | New Mexico Lobos | Hawai'i Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 4-1 | 1-5 |
| Spread | -14.5 -112 | +14.5 -108 |
| Moneyline | -700 | +500 |
| Total | Over 44.5 (-108) | Under 44.5 (-112) |
| Where | Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex, Honolulu, HI | |
| When | Saturday, October 17, 2026 | |
| Time | 10:30 PM EDT | |
| TV | FS1 | |
The New Mexico Lobos and Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors meet Saturday in week 7 college football action at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex. Here’s a New Mexico vs. Hawai’i Prediction. This article will include a New Mexico vs. Hawai’i Pick.
New Mexico Lobos Betting Preview
The New Mexico Lobos beat New Mexico State and UTEP, and they play North Dakota State next. New Mexico has won 4 of its last 5 games. Toa Fa’avae is completing 57.1 percent of his passes for 639 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Bailen George and Cade Keith have combined for 421 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while DJ Darling has 5 receptions.
The New Mexico Lobos ground game is averaging 208.8 yards per contest, and Scottre Humphrey leads the way with 332 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, New Mexico is allowing 10.6 points and 255.6 yards per game. Mercury Swaim leads the New Mexico Lobos with 25 tackles, Brett Karhu has 4 sacks, and Tavian Combs has 3 interceptions.
Why the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors will win
- New Mexico has lost four of its last five October games as a road favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- The home team has won nine of Hawaii’s last 11 games.
- The underdog has covered the spread in five of the last six games between New Mexico and Hawaii.
- New Mexico has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six October road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- The underdog has won the first half in each of the last three games between New Mexico and Hawaii.
Why the New Mexico Lobos will win
- New Mexico has won each of its last 10 games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Hawaii has lost five of its last six games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- New Mexico has covered the spread in each of its last five games.
- Hawaii has failed to cover the spread in each of its last three games against conference opponents.
- Hawaii has lost the first half in each of its last four games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of Hawaii’s last eight games against conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Four of New Mexico’s last five road games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 7, Micah Alejado ranks 9th amongst FBS players for passing yards (1612) this season.
New Mexico Lobos Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 7, Tavian Combs is one of only five players to record at least one interception in three consecutive appearances this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Hawaii ranks 132nd among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (65.0).
- Hawaii ranks T131st among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (3.8).
- New Mexico ranks 1st among FBS teams for interceptions this season (12).
- New Mexico ranks 1st among FBS teams for average point differential in third quarters this season (+11.8).
Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors Betting Preview
The Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors lost to Arizona State and San Jose State, and they play Northern Illinois next. The Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors have lost 5 of their last 6 games. Micah Alejado is completing 59.2 percent of his passes for 1,613 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Kainoa Carvalho and Tama Uilata have combined for 590 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Devin Alves has 10 receptions.
The Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors ground game is averaging 82.3 yards per contest, and DeVon Rice leads the way with 304 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Hawai’i is allowing 25.7 points and 390.5 yards per game. Kona Moore leads the Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors with 46 tackles, Julian Smith has 2 sacks, and Jamih Otis has 1 interception.
New Mexico vs Hawai’i Prediction
This is a down year for Hawaii, and there’s not much confidence when playing decent teams. New Mexico looks great on both sides of the ball and is also 5-0 ATS on the season. New Mexico gave Oklahoma a scare and has smoked all of the teams it’s supposed to beat. Hawaii has a history of being a sneaky good team on the island, but the Lobos have been so steady it’s not enough for me to step in front of them. Big number, but New Mexico is rolling. I’ll lay the points with the Lobos.
