Mar 21, 2025; Milwaukee, WI, USA; Troy Trojans forward Victor Valdes (11) drives to the hoop past Kentucky Wildcats guard Collin Chandler (5) during the first half at Fiserv Forum. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Hanisch-Imagn Images
Jeff Hanisch-Imagn Images

UL Monroe vs Troy Prediction 2/27/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP UL Monroe Warhawks Troy Trojans
Team Records 4-26 19-11
Spread +19.5 -112 -19.5 -108
Moneyline +1300 -2800
Total Over 153.5 (-105) Under 153.5 (-115)
Where Trojan Arena, Troy, AL
When Friday, February 27, 2026
Time 07:00 PM EST
TV ESPN+

The Louisiana Monroe Warhawks and the Troy Trojans meet Friday in college basketball action from the Trojan Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Louisiana Monroe Warhawks vs. Troy Trojans prediction.

Louisiana Monroe Warhawks Recap

The Louisiana Monroe Warhawks come into this game looking to bounce back from their 89-54 loss at the hands of South Alabama last time out to sit at 4-26 this season. 

Warhawks Lose 6 Straight

Krystian Lewis leads the Warhawks in scoring and assists with 18.4 PPG and 3.3 APG along with 4.5 RPG while MJ Russell has 15.3 PPG with 4.1 RPG and 2 APG. Lavell Brodnex has 14.4 PPG with a team-high 8.2 RPG to lead Louisiana-Monroe in rebounding along with 2.1 APG and Renars Sondors has 10.8 PPG with 4.2 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Louisiana-Monroe so far this season. As a team, Louisiana-Monroe is averaging 72.4 PPG on 41.4% shooting from the field, 32% from three and 72.6% from the foul line this season.

Troy Trojans Recap

The Troy Trojans come into this game looking to build on their 78-59 win over Louisiana last time out to sit at 19-11 this season.

Trojans Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight

Victor Valdes leads the Trojans in scoring with 15 PPG along with 4 RPG and 4.4 APG while Thomas Dowd has 14.3 PPG with 10.1 RPG to lead the Trojans in rebounding by averaging a double-double per game. Cooper Campbell has 12.8 PPG with 3.5 RPG and a team-high 4.4 APG to lead Troy in assists while Theo Seng has 12.9 PPG with 5.8 RPG to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Troy so far this season. Cobi Campbell also has 9.1 PPG as well this season for Troy. As a team, Troy is averaging 80.5 PPG on 44.4% shooting from the field, 33.9% from three and 73.5% from the foul line this season.

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks @ Troy Trojans Betting Trends: February 27, 2026


Why the Troy Trojans will win

  • Louisiana-Monroe has lost 21 of its last 22 games against Conference opponents.
  • Troy has won each of its last eight games against Louisiana-Monroe.
  • Troy has won the first half in 21 of its last 22 night games at Trojan Arena.

Why the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks will win

  • Louisiana-Monroe has won each of its last three night games at Trojan Arena.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Troy’s last nine games have produced a total of 153 or fewer points.
  • Three of Louisiana-Monroe’s last four road games have produced a total of 164+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Troy ranks 31st among Division 1 teams for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (28.4).
  • Troy ranks 41st among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw percentage this season (69.6%).
  • Louisiana-Monroe ranks 364th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goals made per game this season (31.2).
  • Louisiana-Monroe ranks 361st among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (44.8%).

Louisiana Monroe Warhawks vs. Troy Trojans Prediction

I’m on Troy here. I get the case to be made for the Warhawks considering that this is a boatload of points. However, Troy is still one of the best teams in the Sun Belt and I think Louisiana Monroe could easily get drilled in this game by 20+ as the Trojans will try to build up some momentum going into the conference tournament. Give me Troy here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Troy -19.5

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