Mar 20, 2026; Tampa, FL, USA; Texas Tech Red Raiders forward Lejuan Watts (3) drives against Akron Zips guard Sharron Young (3) in the second half during a first round game of the men's 2026 NCAA Tournament at Benchmark International Arena. Mandatory Credit: Nathan Ray Seebeck-Imagn Images
Nathan Ray Seebeck-Imagn Images

Texas Tech vs Alabama Prediction 3/22/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Texas Tech Red Raiders Alabama Crimson Tide
Team Records 23-10 24-9
Spread -1.5 105 +1.5 -125
Moneyline -115 -105
Total Over 164.5 (-108) Under 164.5 (-112)
Where Alabama Stadium
When Sunday, March 22, 2026
Time 09:45 PM EDT
TV TBS

The Texas Tech Red Raiders and the Alabama Crimson Tide meet Sunday in college basketball action from the Benchmark International Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide prediction.

Texas Tech Red Raiders Recap

The Texas Tech Red Raiders come into this game off of their 91-71 win over Akron last time out.

Red Raiders Looking To Return To Sweet 16

JT Toppin leads the Red Raiders in scoring and rebounding with 21.8 PPG and 10.8 RPG along with 2.1 APG but is missing the rest of the season with injury while Christian Anderson has 19.4 PPG with 3.8 RPG and a. team-high of 7.7 APG. Donovan Atwell has 13.1 PPG with 3.2 RPG while LeJuan Watts has 12 PPG with 6.1 RPG and 2.5 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Texas Tech up to this point in the year. Jaylen Petty has 9.1 PPG, 3.9 RPG and 2.2 APG as well on the year. As a team, Texas Tech is averaging 82 PPG on 47.2% shooting from the field, 39.5% from three and 71.6% from the foul line this season.

Alabama Crimson Tide Recap

The Alabama Crimson Tide come into this game off of their 90-70 win over Hofstra last time out.

Crimson Tide Looking To Make Another Tournament Run

Labaron Philon Jr. leads the Crimson Tide in scoring and assists with 21.3 PPG and 5 APG along with 3.3 RPG while Aden Holloway has 16.9 PPG with 4.1 APG and 2.8 RPG. Latrell Wrightsell has 12.7 PPG with 2.8 RPG and 2.2 APG and Amari Allen has 12.5 PPG with 7.5 RPG and 3.4 APG to lead the Crimson Tide in rebounding so far this season. Aiden Sherrell has 11.2 PPG with 6.1 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Alabama so far this season. As a team, Alabama is averaging 92.9 PPG on 46% shooting from the field, 36.1% from three and 76.4% from the foul line this season. 

Texas Tech Red Raiders @ Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Trends: March 22, 2026


Why the Alabama Crimson Tide will win

  • Alabama has won each of its last seven NCAA Tournament games against a lower seed.
  • Texas Tech has lost eight of its last nine March games as an AP-ranked team against an AP-ranked team.
  • Alabama has won the first half in each of its last nine games against non-Conference opponents.

Why the Texas Tech Red Raiders will win

  • Texas Tech has won seven of its last eight games against non-Conference opponents.
  • Alabama has lost five of its last six night games against the Big 12 Conference.
  • Texas Tech has won the first half in seven of its last eight games against non-Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Texas Tech’s last 25 night games against AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 163 or fewer points.
  • Each of Alabama’s last nine night games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 167+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Alabama ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for points per game this season (92.1).
  • Alabama ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (35.5).
  • Texas Tech ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goals made per game this season (11.6).
  • Texas Tech ranks T8th among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (2.3).

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Prediction

I’m on the Red Raiders here. I have concerns about the Holloway depth issue once again for Alabama. It didn’t cause a problem against Hofstra, but Texas Tech plays a much more relentless defensive style than Hofstra does and I’m not as concerned with the Toppin injury for Tech with Atwell and Watts taking the next man up role. Alabama has their work cut out for them here. Give me Texas Tech.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Texas Tech -1.5

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