Tennessee State vs Morehead State Prediction 2/14/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article we will formulate a Tennessee State vs Morehead State prediction for this College Basketball game on Saturday, February 14th at Ellis T. Johnson Arena in Morehead, Kentucky. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Tennessee State Tigers Betting Preview

The Tennessee State Tigers are 17-8 (11-4) this season after they defeated Southern Indiana by a score of 73-71 in their last game. Tennessee State trailed 37-29 at halftime, but they scored 44 points in the second half to escape with the win. The Tigers shot 39% from the field, 45% on three pointers, and 86% on free throws in the game. Travis Harper II led Tennessee State with 22 points and seven rebounds, while Aaron Nkrumah added 17 points and six rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, Tennessee State defeated Western Illinois by a score of 83-56 and Eastern Illinois by a score of 77-68. The Tigers have scored 80.6 points per game with 38.0 rebounds and 13.6 assists per game, while they have allowed 75.4 points against per game this season. Aaron Nkrumah is averaging 17.4 points and 5.3 rebounds per game, while Travis Harper II is averaging 17.1 points and 4.4 rebounds per game for the Tigers. Tennessee State is shooting 46.1% from the field, 74.8% on free throws, and 31.1% on three pointers this season. 

Morehead State Eagles Betting Preview

The Morehead State Eagles are 14-12 (10-5) this year after they defeated Tennessee Tech by a score of 73-66 in their last game. Morehead State led 34-22 at halftime, but they were outscored 44-39 in the second half in the win. The Eagles shot 49% from the field, 29% on three pointers, and 83% on free throws in the game. Jon Carroll led Morehead State with 22 points and 10 rebounds, while George Marshall added 14 points and three rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, Morehead State defeated UT Martin by a score of 61-55, but lost to SEMO by a score of 82-70 before that. The Eagles have scored 75.5 points per game with 36.3 rebounds and 14.0 assists per game, while they have allowed 75.5 points against per game this season. George Marshall is averaging 13.0 points and 4.3 rebounds per game, while Davion Cunningham is averaging 12.0 points and 4.4 rebounds per game for the Eagles. Morehead State is shooting 46.0% from the field, 73.1% on free throws, and 33.5% on three pointers this year. 

Why the Morehead State Eagles will win

• Morehead State has won each of its last six games against Tennessee State at Ellis T Johnson Arena.
• Tennessee State has lost nine of its last 11 games at Ellis T Johnson Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• Tennessee State has lost the first half in each of its last five games at Ellis T Johnson Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the Tennessee State Tigers will win

• Tennessee State has won five of its last six games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Nineteen of Morehead State’s last 20 games against the Ohio Valley Conference Conference at Ellis T Johnson Arena have produced a total of 147 or fewer points.
• Each of Tennessee State’s last six games against non-AP-ranked opponents at Ellis T Johnson Arena have produced a total of 146 or fewer points.

Tennessee State vs Morehead State Prediction 

Tennessee State comes into this matchup on a three game winning streak and they are tied for first in the conference. The Tigers are shooting 46% from the field and they have scored at least 77 points in three of their last four games. Morehead State has split their last four games, but they have allowed 66 points or fewer in three of their last five. I think these teams are very evenly matched, so I will gladly take the home team at this price.

David Racey's Pick: Morehead State ML