TCU vs Kansas State Prediction 2/28/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article, we will formulate a TCU vs Kansas State Prediction for this college basketball game on Saturday, February 28th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

Kansas State Wildcats Preview

The Kansas State Wildcats have an 11-17 overall record and a 2-13 record in the Big 12 conference. They are coming off a 79-70 road loss against Colorado and their previous three games were a 100-72 road loss against Texas Tech, a 90-74 home win against Baylor and a 78-64 road loss against Houston.

Offensively, Kansas State averages 79.9 points per game, while allowing 81.1 points per game defensively. The Wildcats shoot with 46% from the field and grab 34.5 rebounds per game, while dishing out 17.3 assists per game. They average 3.6 blocks per game and 7 steals per game defensively.

P.J. Haggerty leads Kansas State in scoring, with an average of 23.5 points per game, while shooting with 49% from the field and 69% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 5.2 rebounds. Nate Johnson leads the team in assists with 4.4 per game.

TCU Horned Frogs Preview

The TCU Horned Frogs have an 18-10 overall record and an 8-7 record in the Big 12 conference. They are coming off a 90-78 home win against Arizona State and their previous three games were a 60-54 home win against West Virginia, an 82-71 road loss against UCF and a 95-92 road win against Oklahoma State.

Offensively, TCU averages 78.3 points per game, while allowing 72 points per game defensively. The Horned Frogs shoot with 45% from the field and grab 36.1 rebounds per game, while dishing out 15.8 assists per game. They average 4.8 blocks per game and 7.8 steals per game defensively.

David Punch leads TCU in scoring, with an average of 13.9 points per game, while shooting with 51.6% from the field and 61.2% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 6.6 rebounds. Brock Harding leads the team in assists with 5.9 per game.

TCU Horned Frogs @ Kansas State Wildcats Betting Trends: February 28, 2026

Why the Kansas State Wildcats will win

• TCU has lost seven of its last eight road night games against Conference opponents.
• The home team has won each of Kansas State’s last four games.
• The home team has won the first half in each of Kansas State’s last four games.

Why the TCU Horned Frogs will win

• Kansas State has lost each of its last nine Saturday games against Conference opponents.
• TCU has won eight of its last nine games following a home win.
• Kansas State has lost the first half in each of its la st eight Saturday night games against the Big 12 Conference.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the last 10 night games between TCU and Kansas State have produced a total of 149 or fewer points.
• Each of TCU’s last seven games at Fred Bramlage Coliseum have produced a total of 147 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Kansas State ranks 12th among Division 1 teams for pace this season (72.7).
• Kansas State ranks 13th among Division 1 teams for field goal attempts per game this season (64.0).
• TCU ranks T29th among Division 1 teams for blocks per game this season (4.8).
• TCU ranks T48th among Division 1 teams for opponent turnovers per game this season (13.8).

TCU vs Kansas State Prediction   

In this TCU vs Kansas State Prediction, TCU is coming as -3 road favorites. TCU has been the better team this season and has also been better against the spread. They are 5-1 in their last 6 games, while on the other hand, Kansas State has been struggling mightily lately, with a 1-8 record in its last 9 games and are just 4-12 ATS at home this season. TCU has won its last four head-to-head matches against Kansas State and has a superior defense, so I expect them to win and cover the spread on the road in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: TCU -3