Tarleton vs UT Arlington Prediction 12/29/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Tarleton State Texans and the Texas-Arlington Mavericks meet Monday in college basketball action from College Park Center. Here’s a Tarleton State vs Texas-Arlington prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Tarleton State vs Texas-Arlington pick. We will examine the recent form and player performances for both teams, as well as the recent betting trends and streaks pertaining to this matchup. As we conclude, we will tie it all together with a summary that produces a sensible pick for a favorable betting outcome in this game.

Tarleton State Texans Betting Preview

The Texans limped to a 2-3 start this year with losses to SMU, LSU and Baylor in that quintet. Since then however, it’s been a 7-1 run with a lone loss to Cincinnati. Otherwise Tarleton State has beaten Angelo State, Rice, Midwestern State, Howard Payne, Cameron, MS Valley State and Florida A&M. That gives the Texans a 9-4 overall record this year through 13 games.

In the Florida A&M matchup back on December 19, the Texans were up by 14 points going into the second half. Tarleton State hit a 29-19 run the rest of the way and won the game 78-54 in the end. Leroy Kelly was the top man on 18 points with eight boards. Dior Johnson had 13 points and Andy Sigiscar chipped in with 12 points and two rebounds in 23 minutes of work.

Tx-Arlington Mavericks Betting Preview

Over on the Texas-Arlington side, they kicked off the season on a 6-2 run over their first eight outings. Those wins were over UNT Dallas, Arlington Baptist, Missouri State, Evansville, Weber State and Stephen F. Austin. Since then it’s been a 2-2 run with losses to Arkansas State and Stanford among wins over Texas-Rio Grande Valley and Oral Roberts. That makes for an 8-4 overall record so far.

In the Oral Roberts game last Monday, the Mavericks were up by eight points at halftime. TX-Arlington finished on a 34-30 run and took the eventual win 69-57 in the end. Marcell McCreary logged 16 points with three rebounds and Cash Chavis had 13 points with six rebounds and three assists. Bahsil Laster chipped in 10 points in 24 minutes on the floor as well.

Tarleton State Texans @ UT Arlington Mavericks Betting Trends: December 29, 2025

Why the UT Arlington Mavericks will win

• UT Arlington Mavericks has won nine of its last 10 night games at College Park Center against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• Tarleton State has lost four of its last five games against Conference opponents.

Why the Tarleton State Texans will win

• Tarleton State has won seven of its last eight games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• UT Arlington Mavericks has lost each of its last four games against the Western Athletic Conference.
• Tarleton State has won the first half in each of its last four games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Tarleton State vs TX-Arlington Prediction

I’ll take a stab on Tarleton State but you could call it either way. The Texans didn’t have much issue with Florida A&M in their last game, shooting 47.5 percent from the field, 17-of-23 (73.9 percent) from the line and 5-of-10 from 3-point range alongside 37 rebounds. The only major blemish was the 19 turnovers. The Texans have now won four straight with 78 or more points scored in each of those victories.

As for Texas-Arlington, they held Oral Roberts in check with just 30.9 percent shooting from the field and 2-of-20 from 3-point range in their latest victory. The Mavericks have been pretty good on defense lately; they’ve given up fewer than 62 points in each of their last three wins. That said, they’ve also surrendered some pretty solid points totals to good offenses this year as well.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Tarleton State Texans +2.5