St. Mary’s vs Pacific Prediction 2/14/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article we will formulate a St. Mary’s vs Pacific prediction for this College Basketball game on Saturday, February 14th at the Alex G. Spanos Center in Stockton, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

St. Mary’s Gaels Betting Preview

The St. Mary’s Gaels are 22-4 (11-2) this season after they defeated Pepperdine by a score of 88-60 in their last game. St. Mary’s led 48-29 at halftime and they added 40 points in the second half for the easy win. The Gaels shot 50% from the field, 52% on three pointers, and 59% on free throws in the game. Paulius Murauskas led St. Mary’s with 18 points and five rebounds, while Mikey Lewis added 13 points and three assists in the win. 

Prior to that game, St. Mary’s defeated San Francisco by a score of 79-54 and San Diego by a score of 87-60. The Gaels have scored 78.8 points per game with 40.2 rebounds and 15.8 assists per game, while they have allowed 64.1 points against per game this season. Paulius Murauskas is averaging 18.7 points and 7.1 rebounds per game, while Joshua Dent is averaging 13.1 points and 5.7 assists per game for the Gaels. St. Mary’s is shooting 46.6% from the field, 80.6% on free throws, and 38.8% on three pointers this season. 

Pacific Tigers Betting Preview

The Pacific Tigers are 17-10 (8-6) this year after they defeated Loyola Marymount by a score of 65-59 in their last game. Pacific trailed 31-25 at halftime, but they scored 40 points in the second half for the win. The Tigers shot 47% from the field, 27% on three pointers, and 70% on free throws in the game. Elias Ralph led Pacific with 22 points and seven rebounds, while TJ Wainwright added 10 points and seven rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, Pacific defeated Pepperdine by a score of 92-59, but lost to Santa Clara by a score of 71-56 before that. The Tigers have scored 74.7 points per game with 38.4 rebounds and 15.4 assists per game, while they have allowed 68.0 points against per game this season. Elias Ralph is averaging 16.6 points and 6.7 rebounds per game, while TJ Wainwright is averaging 13.9 points and 3.8 rebounds per game for the Tigers. Pacific is shooting 47.8% from the field, 76.2% on free throws, and 36.5% on three pointers this year. 

Why the Pacific Tigers will win

• Pacific has won 11 of its last 12 games at Alex G. Spanos Center against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the Saint Mary’s Gaels will win

• Saint Mary’s has won 23 of its last 24 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• Pacific has lost each of its last 11 Saturday night games against the West Coast Conference.
• Pacific has lost the first half in each of its last eight Saturday night games against Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Pacific’s last 11 Saturday night home games against the West Coast Conference have produced a total of 137+ points.
• Four of Saint Mary’s’ last five games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 138+ points.

St. Mary’s vs Pacific Prediction 

St. Mary’s comes into this matchup with an 11-2 record in conference play and they have won three games in a row. The Gaels are shooting 47% from the field and they have allowed 60 points or fewer in three straight games. Pacific has split their last four games, but they have allowed 59 or fewer in three of their last five. Both teams have been strong defensively this year, but I don’t think Pacific matches up very well here. Take the Gaels to cover on the road.

David Racey's Pick: St. Mary's -8.5