St. Bonaventure vs Dayton Prediction 3/13/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article, we will formulate a St. Bonaventure vs Dayton Prediction for this Atlantic 10 Quarterfinal on Friday, March 13th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

Dayton Flyers Preview

The Dayton Flyers have a 21-10 overall record and a 12-6 record in the A-10 conference. They are coming off a 68-62 loss against VCU and their previous three games were a 65-60 road win against Richmond, a 68-66 road win against George Washington and a 77-62 win against Saint Louis.

Offensively, Dayton averages 75.1 points per game, while allowing 70.1 points per game defensively. The Flyers shoot with 45% from the field and grab 32.5 rebounds per game, while dishing out 14.4 assists per game. They average 4.1 blocks per game and 8.5 steals per game defensively.

Javon Bennett leads Dayton in scoring, with an average of 15.9 points per game, while shooting with 38.6% from the field and 90.5% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 3 assists. Amaël L’Etang is the team’s leading rebounder with 5.8 per game.

St. Bonaventure Bonnies Preview

The St. Bonaventure Bonnies have a 17-16 overall record and a 4-14 record in the A-10 conference. They are coming off a 63-57 win against George Mason and their previous three games were a 99-80 win against La Salle, a 68-63 loss against Davidson and a 91-82 road loss against George Washington.

Offensively, St. Bonaventure averages 77.2 points per game, while allowing 74.7 points per game defensively. The Bonnies shoot with 47% from the field and grab 35.6 rebounds per game, while dishing out 16.2 assists per game. They average 4.6 blocks per game and 7.5 steals per game defensively.

Daryl Simmons II leads St. Bonaventure in scoring, with an average of 16.5 points per game, while shooting with 44.2% from the field and 88.9% from the free throw line. Frank Mitchell is the team’s leading rebounder with 10.4 per game. Dasonte Bowen leads the team in assists with 4.9 per game.

St. Bonaventure Bonnies @ Dayton Flyers Betting Trends: March 13, 2026

Why the Dayton Flyers will win

• Dayton has won six of its last seven games.
• St. Bonaventure has lost four of its last five games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• Dayton has won the first half in six of its last seven games.

Why the St. Bonaventure Bonnies will win

• Dayton has lost four of its last five games played at neutral venues.
• St. Bonaventure has won four of its last five games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
• Dayton has lost the first half in four of its last five games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of Dayton’s last nine games at a neutral venue have produced a total of 141+ points.
• Fourteen of St. Bonaventure’s last 17 games against Conference opponents at neutral venues have produced a total of 139 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Dayton ranks 16th among Division 1 teams for opponent turnovers per game this season (14.9).
• Dayton ranks 16th among Division 1 teams for opponent assist to turnover ratio this season (0.83).
• St. Bonaventure ranks T34th among Division 1 teams for blocks per game this season (4.6).
• St. Bonaventure ranks T43rd among Division 1 teams for opponent rebounds per game this season (31.9).

St. Bonaventure vs Dayton Prediction

In this St. Bonaventure vs Dayton Prediction, Dayton is coming as -7 favorites. Dayton has been the better team this season and has been better against the spread, as St. Bonaventure is just 12-20 ATS this season and have not been in the best form lately, with a 3-6 record in their last 9 games. On the flip side, Dayton has been red-hot with a 6-1 record in its last 7 games and 5-2 against the spread, having won the regular season meeting against St. Bonaventure and are 8-2 in their last 10 meetings. Take Dayton and lay the -7 in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Dayton -7