South Alabama vs Marshall Prediction 2/16/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The South Alabama Jaguars and the Marshall Thundering Herd meet Monday in college basketball action from the Henderson Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a South Alabama Jaguars vs. Marshall Thundering Herd prediction.

South Alabama Jaguars Recap

The South Alabama Jaguars come into this game looking to add on to their 92-88 OT win over Arkansas State last time out to sit at 19-7 this season. After this game, South Alabama will head home for a game against Texas State.

Jaguars Win 3 In A Row

Chaze Harris leads South Alabama in scoring and assists with 18.3 PPG with 4.6 APG along with 4.4 RPG while Adam Olsen has 16 PPG with 4.1 RPG. Peyton Law has 12.8 PPG with 5.9 RPG while Jayden Cooper has 11.3 PPG with 2.7 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for South Alabama so far this season. Stephen Williams has 5.8 PPG with 4.6 RPG and Randy Brady has 5.7 PPG with a team-high 6 RPG to lead South Alabama in rebounding. As a team, South Alabama is averaging 74.3 PPG on 46.3% shooting from the field, 34.6% from three and 66.1% from the foul line so far this season.

Marshall Thundering Herd Recap

The Marshall Thundering Herd come into this game looking to bounce back from their 101-87 loss at the hands of Georgia Southern last time out to sit at 16-10 this season. After this game, Marshall will head on the road for a game against Appalachian State.

Thundering Herd Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight

Wyatt Fricks leads Marshall in scoring with 15 PPG along with 5.7 RPG while Jalen Speer has 14.6 PPG with 4.1 RPG and a team-high 5.8 APG to lead Marshall in assists. Noah Otshudi has 14.6 PPG with 3.7 RPG and 3.4 APG to cap off the trio of double-digit scorers for Marshall this season. Matt Van Komen has 7.8 PPG with a team-high 7.6 RPG to lead Marshall in rebounding. As a team, Marshall is averaging 80.2 PPG with 46.2% shooting from the field, 36.7% from three and 72.8% from the foul line this season.

South Alabama Jaguars @ Marshall Thundering Herd Betting Trends: February 16, 2026

Why the Marshall Thundering Herd will win

• Marshall has won each of its last 15 Monday games at Cam Henderson Center.
• South Alabama has lost 10 of its last 11 Monday games against Conference opponents.
• South Alabama has lost the first half in four of its last five road games.

Why the South Alabama Jaguars will win

• South Alabama has won 12 of its last 13 night games against Conference opponents.
• Marshall has lost the first half in each of its last five night games.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of Marshall’s last eight home games have produced a total of 154+ points.
• Forty-six of South Alabama’s last 53 night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 149 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Marshall ranks 18th among Division 1 teams for blocks per game this season (5.1).
• Marshall ranks 32nd among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (2.5).
• South Alabama ranks 365th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (12.5).
• South Alabama ranks 365th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (39.5).

South Alabama Jaguars vs. Marshall Thundering Herd Prediction

I’m on Marshall here. South Alabama just had a massive comeback in a game they probably should’ve lost against a Marshall team that’s still really solid and is in need of a win to keep themselves in the race in the Sun Belt. All in all, I think Marshall bangs out the win and cover on home soil here. Give me Marshall.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Marshall -3.5