SMU vs Stanford Prediction 2/28/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article we will formulate a SMU vs Stanford prediction for this College Basketball game on Saturday, February 28th at Maples Pavilion in Stanford, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

SMU Mustangs Betting Preview

The SMU Mustangs are 19-9 (8-7) this season after they lost to California by a score of 73-69 in their last game. SMU trailed 38-33 at halftime, but did win the second half 36-35 in the loss. The Mustangs shot 45% from the field, 38% on three pointers, and 42% on free throws in the game. Corey Washington led SMU with 15 points and nine rebounds, while Boopie Miller added 15 points and six rebounds in the loss. 

Prior to that game, SMU defeated Boston College by a score of 94-70 and Louisville by a score of 95-85. The Mustangs have scored 86.2 points per game with 38.1 rebounds and 17.8 assists per game, while they have allowed 77.4 points against per game this season. Boopie Miller is averaging 18.6 points and 6.8 assists per game, while Jaron Pierre Jr is averaging 17.4 points and 5.0 rebounds per game for the Mustangs. SMU is shooting 49.9% from the field, 74.6% on free throws, and 37.9% on three pointers this season. 

Stanford Cardinal Betting Preview

The Stanford Cardinal are 17-11 (6-9) this year after they defeated Pittsburgh by a score of 75-67 in their last game. Stanford trailed 34-32 at halftime, but they scored 43 points in the second half for the win. The Cardinal shot 50% from the field, 35% on three pointers, and 100% on free throws in the game. Ebuka Okorie led Stanford with 34 points and six assists, while Benny Gealer added 12 points and two rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, Stanford lost to Cal by a score of 72-66 and Wake Forest by a score of 68-63. The Cardinal have scored 75.1 points per game with 34.2 rebounds and 11.9 assists per game, while they have allowed 72.3 points against per game this season. Ebuka Okorie is averaging 22.8 points and 3.8 rebounds per game, while Benny Gealer is averaging 10.7 points and 2.4 rebounds per game for the Cardinal. Stanford is shooting 42.8% from the field, 72.4% on free throws, and 34.2% on three pointers this year. 

Why the Stanford Cardinal will win

• Stanford has won 34 of its last 40 day games at Maples Pavilion against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• SMU has lost five of its last six road day games against the Atlantic Coast Conference.

Why the SMU Mustangs will win

• Stanford has lost each of its last four games at Maples Pavilion following a home win.
• SMU has won 17 of its last 22 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• Stanford has lost the first half in four of its last five games at Maples Pavilion against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Stanford’s last four games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 142 or fewer points.
• Eleven of SMU’s last 13 day games have produced a total of 157+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Stanford ranks 16th among Division 1 teams for opponent assists per game this season (10.8).
• Stanford ranks 21st among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (6.1).
• SMU ranks 17th among Division 1 teams for field goal percentage this season (49.9%).
• SMU ranks 18th among Division 1 teams for points per game this season (86.2).

SMU vs Stanford Prediction 

SMU comes into this matchup after a disappointing loss to Cal in their last game and they will continue their long road trip here. The Mustangs are shooting 50% from the field and they have scored at least 89 points in three of their last five. Stanford has lost two of their last three games, but they did beat Pitt last time out. The Cardinal are shooting 43% from the field and they have scored 70 points or fewer in three of their last four. SMU has some issues on the road, but I will still back them to win against this low scoring Stanford team.

David Racey's Pick: SMU ML