Sacramento State vs Northern Arizona Prediction 2/14/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Sacramento State Hornets and the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks will meet on Saturday evening in a Big Sky Conference matchup at the J. Lawrence Walkup Skydome in Flagstaff, Arizona.

Sacramento State Hornets Betting Preview

The Sacramento State Hornets enter Saturday night’s contest with a 9–15 win‑loss record, including a 5–7 mark in conference play and a dreadful 0–13 record on the road. The Hornets have compiled recent wins over Weber State, Montana and Montana State, while losing games to Idaho, Eastern Washington, Baylor and the Pacific Tigers. In the Sacramento State Hornets 104–90 victory over the Weber State Wildcats earlier this month, Hornets guard Prophet Johnson tallied a robust 35 points (11 of 16 shooting from the field:3 of 5 shooting from three-point range), 7 rebounds, 3 assists and 3 steals, illustrating his ability to lead the Sacramento State Hornets backcourt.

These two teams met earlier this season. Who prevailed? Last month, the Sacramento State Hornets defeated the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 83-69.  

The Sacramento State Hornets average 76.9 points on 41.1 percent shooting from the field and 32.8 percent shooting from beyond the arc per game. On the defensive side of the basketball, the Hornets are allowing opponents 84.7 points per game which ranks an abysmal 355th in the country.

Senior guard Prophet Johnson leads the Sacramento State Hornets averaging 18.6 points, 7.9 rebounds, 3.6 assists and 2.6 steals per game. Sophomore guard Mikey Williams averages 17.1 points, 3 rebounds, 4.5 assists on 36.3 percent shooting from the field per game.

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Betting Preview

The Northern Arizona Lumberjacks enter Saturday’s contest with a 9–17 record, including a 3-10 conference record and an 8-6 record at home. The Lumberjacks have amassed wins over Justice College, Embry‑Riddle, Cal Poly, and Southeast Missouri State, while dropping games to Drake, Arizona, South Dakota State, and North Dakota State. In the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 69–68 loss to North Dakota State earlier this month, Northern Arizona forward Zack Davidson posted 20 points on 7 of 12 shooting from the field showcasing his ability to lead the Lumberjacks frontcourt.

The Northern Arizona Lumberjacks average 68.4 points on 45.3 percent shooting from the field and 36.1 percent shooting from three‑point range (61st in the nation) per game. Defensively, the Lumberjacks are allowing opponents 77.6 points per game.

Sophomore forward Zack Davidson leads the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks averaging 14 points, 4.8 rebounds and 1 assist per game. Junior guard Ryan Abelman adds 11.3 points, 5.3 rebounds, 2.1 assists and 1.4 steals per contest, while junior guard Isaiah Shaw contributes 8.7 points and 2.2 rebounds per contest. Senior forward Traivar Jackson provides a strong interior presence averaging 7.1 points and 5.1 rebounds per game.

Why the Sacramento State Hornets Will Win

• Backcourt production. Senior guard Prophet Johnson leads the Sacramento State Hornets backcourt averaging 18.6 points, 7.9 rebounds, 3.6 assists and 2.6 steals per game.

• Balanced scoring. Prophet Johnson and Mikey Williams combine for over 35 points per contest.

• Confidence. Last month, Sacramento State defeated the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 83-69. 

• Offensive edge. The Sacramento State Hornets average 76.9 points per game. Conversely, the Lumberjacks average a rather low 68.4 points per contest.

Why the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Will Win

• Home court advantage. The Northern Arizona Lumberjacks have compiled an 8-6 record at home in 2025.

• Frontcourt play. Sophomore forward Zack Davidson leads the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks averaging 14 points, 4.8 rebounds and 1 assist per game

Sacramento State vs. Northern Arizona Prediction

This matchup features Sacramento State’s short‑handed roster (multiple players potentially inactive due to injury) against a Northern Arizona team that has been far more competitive at home in 2025. The Sacramento State Hornets unfortunate injury situation limits their offensive ceiling, while the Lumberjacks combination of balanced scoring and quality rebounding gives Northern Arizona a clear advantage in this matchup. For the reasons just noted, I am backing the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks to win this game.

Hans Geevers's Pick: Northern Arizona TBA