Pittsburgh vs Notre Dame Prediction 3/11/25 College Basketball Picks

The Pitt Panthers are facing the Notre Dame Fighting Irish on Tuesday, March 11th at the Spectrum Center, in this ACC first-round matchup between the 12th seed and the 13th seed of the conference. The winner of this single-elimination game will face North Carolina in the second round on Wednesday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Pitt Panthers vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish Prediction. We will examine:

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish’s recent form and player performance

The Pitt Panthers’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Pitt Panthers

Recent betting trends in games played between the Pitt Panthers and Notre Dame Fighting Irish

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Pitt Panthers vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish game

Notre Dame Fighting Irish Preview

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish finished the regular season with a 14-17 record and were placed 12th in the ACC. The Fighting Irish are coming off a 112-110 win over California. The Fighting Irish are 13-16-2 against the spread and 16-15 in over/under.

Offensively, Notre Dame is averaging 73.7 points per game, which ranks 187th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 73 points per game (214th). The Fighting Irish shoot 45.7% from the field (127th) and 36.1% from beyond the arc (69th). The Fighting Irish shoot 74.2% from the free-throw line (107th) and are grabbing 35.1 rebounds per game (197th).

Markus Button leads Notre Dame in scoring this season, with an average of 22.2 points, adding 3.5 rebounds and 3.1 assists, while Tre Davis adds 15.4 points and 5.4 rebounds per game. 

Pitt Panthers Preview

The Pitt Panthers finished the regular season with a 17-14 record and were placed 13th in the ACC. Pitt is coming off a 93-67 win over Boston College. The Panthers are 13-17-1 against the spread and 16-13-2 in over/under. 

Offensively, Pitt is averaging 76.6 points per game, which ranks 104th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 71.4 points per game (160th). The Panthers shoot 45.3% from the field (150th) and 35.1% from beyond the arc (116th). The Panthers shoot 78% from the free-throw line, which is the 21st-best in the nation, and are grabbing 33.5 rebounds per game (283rd).

Jaland Lowe leads Pitt in scoring with an average of 16.8 points, 4.2 rebounds, and a team-high 5.5 assists, while Ishmael Leggett adds 16.1 points and 5.9 rebounds per game.

Why the Notre Dame Fighting Irish will win

• Notre Dame has won six of its last seven games against Pittsburgh.
• Pittsburgh has lost four of its last five games.
• Pittsburgh has lost the first half in each of its last five Tuesday games against the Atlantic Coast Conference.

Why the Pittsburgh Panthers will win

• Pittsburgh has won each of its last five day games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
• Notre Dame has lost each of its last four games played at neutral venues.
• Notre Dame has lost the first half in five of its last six games against the Atlantic Coast Conference at neutral venues.

Total Points Facts

• Eighteen of Pittsburgh’s last 20 day games against the Atlantic Coast Conference have produced a total of 139+ points.
• Six of Notre Dame’s last seven day games against the Atlantic Coast Conference have produced a total of 146+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Notre Dame ranks T357th among Division 1 teams for blocks per game this season (1.7).
• Pittsburgh ranks 21st among Division 1 teams for free throw percentage this season (78.0%).
• Pittsburgh ranks T22nd among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (5.4).

Pitt Panthers vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish Prediction

Notre Dame is 8-2 in their last 10 meetings against Pitt and is 5-2 against the spread in their last 7 meetings. Over is 5-0 in their last 5 meetings, and in their previous meeting this season, Notre Dame won 76-72 at home, covering the spread, as the game went over the point total. 

In this Pitt Panthers vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish Prediction, Pitt is coming as -4.5-point favorites. Pitt has a better record this season, but both teams had exactly 3 wins away from home. Notre Dame is coming off back-to-back wins, and are 3-2 against the spread in their last 5 games, while Pitt has been struggling lately, as they are 1-4 in their last 5 games and 3-7 in their last 10. The Panthers have also struggled to cover spreads, as they are 1-6-1 against the spread in their last 8 games. Notre Dame has dominated Pitt in recent years and has already won them once this season, so I love them as an underdog in this spot. Take the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and the plus points.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Notre Dame Fighting Irish +4.5