Ole Miss vs Arkansas Prediction 3/14/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article, we will formulate an Ole Miss vs Arkansas Prediction for this SEC Semifinal on Saturday, March 14th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

Arkansas Razorbacks Preview

The Arkansas Razorbacks have a 24-8 overall record and a 13-5 record in the SEC conference. They are coming off an 82-79 win against Oklahoma and their previous three games were an 88-84 road win against Missouri, a 105-85 win against Texas and a 111-77 road loss against Florida.

Offensively, Arkansas averages 90 points per game, while allowing 79.9 points per game defensively. The Razorbacks shoot with 50% from the field and grab 35.8 rebounds per game, while dishing out 16.9 assists per game. They average 5.3 blocks per game and 7.3 steals per game defensively.

Darius Acuff Jr. leads Arkansas in scoring, with an average of 22.7 points per game, while shooting with 49.4% from the field and 79.7% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 6.4 assists. Trevon Brazile is the team’s leading rebounder with 7.3 per game.

Ole Miss Rebels Preview

The Ole Miss Rebels have a 15-19 overall record and a 4-14 record in the SEC conference. They are coming off an 80-79 win against Alabama and their previous three games were a 76-72 win against Georgia, a 76-66 win against Texas and a 64-61 loss against South Carolina.

Offensively, Ole Miss averages 75.5 points per game, while allowing 75.6 points per game defensively. The Rebels shoot with 44% from the field and grab 34.4 rebounds per game, while dishing out 13.6 assists per game. They average 4.3 blocks per game and 7.1 steals per game defensively.

AJ Storr leads Ole Miss in scoring, with an average of 15.3 points per game, while shooting with 44.4% from the field and 78% from the free throw line. Malik Dia is the team’s leading rebounder with 5.7 per game. Ilias Kamardine leads the team in assists with 3.8 per game.

Ole Miss Rebels @ Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Trends: March 14, 2026

Why the Arkansas Razorbacks will win

• Ole Miss has lost each of its last 13 day games against AP-ranked opponents.
• Arkansas has won each of its last eight games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• Ole Miss has lost the first half in each of its last nine day games against AP-ranked opponents.

Why the Ole Miss Rebels will win

• Ole Miss has won each of its last six Saturday day games played at neutral venues.
• Arkansas has lost five of its last six day games at Bridgestone Arena.
• Arkansas has lost the first half in each of its last four games as an AP-ranked team at Bridgestone Arena.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Arkansas’ last eight games have produced a total of 161+ points.
• Ten of Ole Miss’ last 11 day games have produced a total of 156 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Arkansas is one of only three teams to reach the Sweet 16 in each of its last four NCAA Tournament appearances.
• Arkansas ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for field goals made per game this season (32.3).
• Ole Miss ranks 30th among Division 1 teams for turnover percentage this season (12.5%).
• Ole Miss ranks 33rd among Division 1 teams for turnovers per game this season (9.8).

Ole Miss vs Arkansas Prediction

In this Ole Miss vs Arkansas Prediction, Arkansas is coming as -8.5 favorites. Arkansas has a better overall record and are superior against the spread with a 21-11 ATS record compared to Ole Miss’ 12-20. Arkansas has been red-hot lately with an 8-2 record in its last 10 games, but Ole Miss has been excellent in the conference tournament, having won and covered all of its three games and are 3-1 in their last 5 head-to-head matches against Arkansas. You just have to get the +8.5 with Ole Miss at this point with the way they are playing.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Ole Miss +8.5