Pick details
| MATCHUP | Northern Illinois Huskies | Dayton Flyers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 0-2 | 1-0 |
| Spread | +19.5 -112 | -19.5 -108 |
| Moneyline | +2000 | -6500 |
| Total | Over 146.5 (-108) | Under 146.5 (-112) |
| Where | UD Arena, Dayton, OH | |
| When | Saturday, November 7, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
Northern Illinois vs Dayton Prediction
In this Northern Illinois vs Dayton Prediction, Dayton is coming as -19.5 home favorites. Both teams are coming off opposite outcomes in their previous games, as Dayton won easily its season opener at home by 41 points and will be playing its second straight game at home to start the season, while on the other hand, Northern Illinois has started the season with two defeats and have been playing bad defense, allowing 91.5 points per game which currently ranks on the bottom-30 of the entire nation. Things will not get any better as the face a Dayton team that held its opponent into just 58 points in its previous game and have also won both head-to-head meetings against Northern Illinois. The value here lies with the home team, so take Dayton and lay the points.
Dayton Flyers Preview
The Dayton Flyers have a 1-0 overall record and a 1-0 home record. They are coming off an 89-58 home win against NJIT and will face Siena and Cincinnati next.
Offensively, they are averaging 89 points per game (ranking 101st in the nation), while allowing 58 points per game defensively (78th). They have a 128.2 offensive rating (ranking 66th) and an 83.5 defensive rating (100th). The Flyers are shooting 47.7% from the field (ranking 146th in the nation) and 34.6% from beyond the arc (152nd), while grabbing 50 rebounds per game (29th in the nation) and averaging 19 assists per game (79th). They have 3 blocks per game (181st in the nation) and 7 steals per game (144th).
Aiden Derkack leads Dayton in scoring, averaging 21 ppg on 66.7% shooting from the field, also adding a team-high 11 rebounds per game. Amaël L’Etang and Tristian Ford follow with 20 ppg and 13 ppg respectively, with L’Etang shooting 50% from the field and Ford shooting 50% from the field. Tristian Ford and Landen Joseph lead the team in assists with 4 per game.
Northern Illinois Huskies Preview
The Northern Illinois Huskies have a 0-2 overall record and a 0-2 road record. They are coming off a 75-94 road loss against Tulsa and will face Siena and DePaul next.
Offensively, they are averaging 81 points per game (ranking 191st in the nation), while allowing 91.5 points per game defensively (338th). They have a 104.5 offensive rating (ranking 202nd) and a 118.1 defensive rating (342nd). The Huskies are shooting 42.1% from the field (ranking 235th in the nation) and 37% from beyond the arc (112th), while grabbing 28 rebounds per game (334th in the nation) and averaging 13.5 assists per game (193rd). They have 2.5 blocks per game (231st in the nation) and 5.5 steals per game (249th).
David Douglas Jr. leads Northern Illinois in scoring, averaging 16.5 ppg on 47.8% shooting from the field. Max Weisbrod and Mykolas Ivanauskas follow with 15.5 ppg and 12 ppg respectively, with Weisbrod shooting 50% from the field, also adding a team-high 8 assists per game, and Ivanauskas shooting 71.4% from the field. Brayden Gross and David Douglas Jr. lead the team in rebounds with 4 per game.
Northern Illinois Huskies @ Dayton Flyers Betting Trends: November 7, 2026
Why the Dayton Flyers will win
- Dayton has won 34 of its last 36 games against non-Conference opponents at University of Dayton Arena.
- Northern Illinois has lost each of its last seven games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Dayton has won the first half in nine of its last 10 games against non-Conference opponents at University of Dayton Arena.
Total Points Facts
- Ten of Dayton’s last 11 games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 146 or fewer points.
- Each of Northern Illinois’ last five night games have produced a total of 148+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Dayton ranks T13th among Division 1 teams for free throw percentage this season (85.7%).
- Dayton ranks T20th among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (50.0).
- Northern Illinois ranks 358th among Division 1 teams for defensive rating this season (136.5).
- Northern Illinois ranks T26th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goals made per game this season (12.5).
