Dec 20, 2025; Phoenix, Arizona, USA; San Diego State Aztecs guard Reese Dixon-Waters (39) against the Arizona Wildcats during the Hall of Fame Series at Mortgage Matchup Center. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images
Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images

Nevada vs San Diego State Prediction 2/14/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Nevada Wolf Pack San Diego State Aztecs
Team Records 17-7 17-6
Where Viejas Arena, San Diego, CA
When Saturday, February 14, 2026
Time 10:00 PM EST
TV CBSSN

The Nevada Wolf Pack and the San Diego State Aztecs meet Saturday in college basketball action from the Viejas Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Nevada Wolf Pack vs. San Diego State Aztecs prediction.

Nevada Wolf Pack Recap

The Nevada Wolf Pack come into this game looking to add on to their 69-59 win over Fresno State last time out to sit at 17-7 this season. After this game, Nevada will head on the road for a game against San Jose State.

Wolf Pack Win 5 Of Last 7

Corey Camper Jr. leads Nevada in scoring with 16.5 PPG along with 4.3 RPG and 2.1 APG and Tayshawn Comer has 13.7 PPG with a team-high 4 APG to lead the Wolf Pack in assists. Elijah Price has 12.5 PPG with a team-high 8.9 RPG to lead the Wolf Pack in rebounding and to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Nevada up to this point in the year. As a team, Nevada is averaging 76.8 PPG on 44% shooting from the field, 38.5% from three and 76.7% from the foul line so far this season.

San Diego State Aztecs Recap

The San Diego State Aztecs come into this game looking to add on to their 88-54 win over Air Force last time out to sit at 17-6 this season. After this game, San Diego State will take on Grand Canyon at home.

Aztecs Win Back-To-Back Games

Reese Dixon-Waters leads the Aztecs in scoring with 12.4 PPG with 3.7 RPG while BJ Davis has 10.8 PPG with 3.3 RPG and 2.3 APG. Miles Byrd has 10.6 PPG with 4.2 RPG and a team-high 2.7 APG to lead San Diego State in assists and to cap off the trio of double-digit scorers for San Diego State this season. Magoon Gwath has 9.2 PPG with 4.3 RPG while Elzie Harrington has 8.4 PPG and Pharaoh Compton has 8.4 PPG. Miles Heide also has a team-high 4.9 RPG to lead San Diego State in rebounding. As a team, San Diego State is averaging 80.2 PPG on 48.4% shooting from the field, 36.2% from three and 74.3% from the foul line this season.

Nevada Wolf Pack @ San Diego State Aztecs Betting Trends: February 14, 2026


Why the San Diego State Aztecs will win

  • San Diego State has won each of its last 12 games against Conference opponents at Viejas Arena.
  • Nevada has lost each of its last three road games following a home win.
  • San Diego State has won the first half in each of its last 11 games against Conference opponents at Viejas Arena.

Why the Nevada Wolf Pack will win

  • Nevada has won 13 of its last 16 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Seven of Nevada’s last eight games at Viejas Arena have produced a total of 139 or fewer points.
  • Five of San Diego State’s last six night games have produced a total of 139 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • San Diego State ranks 12th among Division 1 teams for opponent turnovers per game this season (15.4).
  • San Diego State ranks 14th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal percentage this season (39.4%).
  • Nevada ranks 9th among Division 1 teams for turnover percentage this season (11.7%).
  • Nevada ranks 10th among Division 1 teams for turnovers per game this season (9.1).

Nevada Wolf Pack vs. San Diego State Aztecs Prediction

I’m on the Aztecs here. I just trust this Aztecs team defensively, especially at home. Nevada’s a solid team, but they’re a team I much prefer backing at home and I think San Diego State gets it done at home by shutting down Nevada here. Give me the Aztecs.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: San Diego State -8.5

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