Morgan State vs Niagara Prediction 11/7/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Morgan State vs Niagara Prediction

In this Morgan State vs Niagara Prediction, Niagara is coming as -3.5 home favorites. Both teams are coming off opposite outcomes in their previous games as Morgan State has been undefeated this season but will be tested for the first time on the road, while Niagara got destroyed in its season opener, losing by 45 points in West Virginia but will be playing their home opener of the season. Morgan State has been playing excellent defense this season, holding opponents into just 55 points per game and Niagara will be in trouble until it gets both its offensive and defensive woes in check. Morgan State’s numbers are inflated because of weak competition, but I don’t like what I saw from Niagara, so the value here lies with Morgan State as road dogs. Take Morgan State and grab the +3.5 points on the road.

Niagara Purple Eagles Preview

The Niagara Purple Eagles have a 0-1 overall record and a 0-0 home record. They are coming off a 46-91 road loss against West Virginia and will face Bowling Green and Iowa State next.

Offensively, they are averaging 46 points per game (ranking 353rd in the nation), while allowing 91 points per game defensively (311th). They have a 64.2 offensive rating (ranking 355th) and a 127 defensive rating (320th). The Purple Eagles are shooting 42.2% from the field (ranking 238th in the nation) and 40% from beyond the arc (80th), while grabbing 24 rebounds per game (350th in the nation) and averaging 9 assists per game (315th). They have 4 blocks per game (130th in the nation) and 2 steals per game (348th).

Logan Woods leads Niagara in scoring, averaging 12 ppg on 62.5% shooting from the field, also adding a team-high 3 assists per game. Cole Farrell and Bastien Rieber follow with 8 ppg and 6 ppg respectively, with Farrell shooting 50% from the field and Rieber shooting 40% from the field. Bastien Rieber and Ruey Ruey lead the team in rebounds with 5 per game.

Morgan State Bears Preview

The Morgan State Bears have a 2-0 overall record and a 0-0 road record. They are coming off a 95-58 home win against Virginia University of Lynchburg and will face UMBC and North Carolina A&T next.

Offensively, they are averaging 99 points per game, while allowing 55 points per game defensively. They have a 130.6 offensive rating and a 72.5 defensive rating. The Bears are shooting 48.9% from the field and 35.3% from beyond the arc, while grabbing 49 rebounds per game and averaging 15 assists per game. They have 7 blocks per game and 9 steals per game.

Alfred Worrell Jr. leads Morgan State in scoring, averaging 23.5 ppg on 56.3% shooting from the field. Jeremiah Kwarteng and Keith Richard follow with 16 ppg and 15 ppg respectively, with Kwarteng shooting 54.5% from the field and Richard shooting 50% from the field, also adding a team-high 6.5 assists per game. Ibrahima Traore leads the team in rebounds with 8 per game.

Morgan State Bears @ Niagara Purple Eagles Betting Trends: November 7, 2026

Why the Niagara Purple Eagles will win

• Morgan State has lost 22 of its last 23 road night games against non-Conference opponents.
• The home team has won five of Niagara’s last six games.
• Niagara has won the first half in three of its last four home games against non-Conference opponents.

Why the Morgan State Bears will win

• Morgan State has won each of its last four night games against non-Conference opponents.
• Niagara has lost each of its last four night games against non-Conference opponents.
• Niagara has lost the first half in each of its last three games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Morgan State’s last six road games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 155+ points.
• Ten of Niagara’s last 11 games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 150 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Niagara ranks 365th among Division 1 teams for field goal attempts per game this season (45.0).
• Niagara ranks 365th among Division 1 teams for turnover percentage this season (33.9%).
• Morgan State ranks 8th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal percentage this season (27.2%).
• Morgan State ranks T8th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (3.5).

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Morgan State +3.5