Missouri vs Mississippi State Prediction 2/28/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article we will formulate a Missouri vs Mississippi State prediction for this College Basketball game on Saturday, February 28th at the Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville, Mississippi. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Missouri Tigers Betting Preview

The Missouri Tigers are 19-9 (9-6) this season after they defeated Tennessee by a score of 73-69 in their last game. Missouri trailed 29-26 at halftime, but they scored 47 points in the second half for the win. The Tigers shot 47% from the field, 24% on three pointers, and 77% on free throws in the game. T.O. Barrett led Missouri with 28 points and five rebounds, while Mark Mitchell added 23 points and three rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, Missouri lost to Arkansas by a score of 94-86, but did beat Vanderbilt by a score of 81-80 before that. The Tigers have scored 80.0 points per game with 35.9 rebounds and 14.6 assists per game, while they have allowed 75.0 points against per game this season. Mark Mitchell is averaging 17.4 points and 5.4 rebounds per game, while Jayden Stone is averaging 14.1 points and 4.8 rebounds per game for the Tigers. Missouri is shooting 49.2% from the field, 68.4% on free throws, and 35.0% on three pointers this season. 

Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Preview

The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 13-15 (5-10) this year after they lost to Alabama by a score of 100-75 in their last game. Mississippi State trailed 63-33 at halftime, but they did score 42 points in the second half in the loss. The Bulldogs shot 38% from the field, 37% on three pointers, and 50% on free throws in the game. Achor Achor led Mississippi State with 18 points and seven rebounds, while King Grace added 13 points and one rebound in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Mississippi State lost to South Carolina by a score of 97-89, but did beat Auburn by a score of 91-85 before that. The Bulldogs have scored 78.2 points per game with 39.3 rebounds and 12.9 assists per game, while they have allowed 80.0 points against per game this season. Josh Hubbard is averaging 21.6 points and 3.6 assists per game, while Jayden Epps is averaging 14.0 points and 2.5 rebounds per game for the Bulldogs. Mississippi State is shooting 44.6% from the field, 67.0% on free throws, and 32.5% on three pointers this year. 

Why the Mississippi State Bulldogs will win

• Mississippi State has won each of its last eight day games at Humphrey Coliseum against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• Missouri has lost eight of its last nine games at Humphrey Coliseum.
• The home team has won the first half in each of Mississippi State’s last three games.

Why the Missouri Tigers will win

• Missouri has won each of its last five games when playing with a rest advantage.
• Mississippi State has lost each of its last four day games against Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Mississippi State’s last seven home games against Missouri have produced a total of 149 or fewer points.
• Each of Missouri’s last six games against non-AP-ranked opponents at Humphrey Coliseum have produced a total of 141 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Mississippi State ranks 17th among Division 1 teams for field goal attempts per game this season (63.4).
• Mississippi State ranks 33rd among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (39.3).
• Missouri ranks 41st among Division 1 teams for effective field goal percentage this season (55.5%).
• Missouri ranks 50th among Division 1 teams for true shooting percentage this season (59.1%).

Missouri vs Mississippi State Prediction 

Missouri comes into this matchup after a huge win over Tennessee in their last game, but they will be on the road here. The Tigers are shooting 49% from the field and they have allowed 80+ points in four of their last five games. Mississippi State has lost two in a row and they have allowed 97 and 100 points in those two losses. The Bulldogs have gone over 155.5 in four straight games and I think this will be another higher scoring game. Take the over here.

David Racey's Pick: Over 155.5