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Mississippi Valley State vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Prediction 2/28/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils | Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golde Lions |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 2-27 | 12-16 |
| Where | H.O. Clemmons Arena, Pine Bluff, AR | |
| When | Saturday, February 28, 2026 | |
| Time | 06:30 PM EST | |
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions Preview
The Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions have a 12-16 overall record and a 9-6 record in the SWAC. They are coming off an 84-82 home win against Prairie View A&M and their previous three games were an 83-64 home loss against Texas Southern, an 82-70 road loss against Alabama A&M and a 79-61 road loss against Alabama State.
Offensively, Arkansas-Pine Bluff averages 77.2 points per game, while allowing 82.5 points per game defensively. The Golden Lions shoot with 45% from the field and grab 33.7 rebounds per game, while dishing out 15.6 assists per game. They average 3 blocks per game and 7 steals per game defensively.
Quion Williams leads Arkansas-Pine Bluff in scoring, with an average of 17.6 points per game, while shooting with 47.4% from the field and 73.7% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 7.8 rebounds and a team-high 5.6 assists.
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils Preview
The Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils have a 2-27 overall record and a 1-14 record in the SWAC. They are coming off an 83-62 road loss against Grambling and their previous three games were a 72-71 home win against Texas Southern, a 72-62 home loss against Prairie View A&M and a 92-55 road loss against Alabama State.
Offensively, Mississippi Valley State averages 64 points per game, while allowing 84.2 points per game defensively. The Delta Devils shoot with 41% from the field and grab 30.3 rebounds per game, while dishing out 11.9 assists per game. They average 2.6 blocks per game and 7.5 steals per game defensively.
Michael James leads Mississippi Valley State in scoring, with an average of 21.6 points per game, while shooting with 43.3% from the field and 91.2% from the free throw line. Daniel Mayfield is the team’s leading rebounder with 6.3 per game. X’Zaevion Barnett leads the team in assists with 2.8 per game.
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions Betting Trends: February 28, 2026
Why the Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions will win
- Mississippi Valley State has lost each of its last 21 away games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- Arkansas-Pine Bluff has won 15 of its last 18 games against Mississippi Valley State.
- Mississippi Valley State has lost the first half in each of its last 16 night games.
Why the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils will win
- The road team has won four of the last five games between Mississippi Valley State and Arkansas-Pine Bluff.
- Arkansas-Pine Bluff has lost three of its last four games.
- The road team has won the first half in four of the last five games between Mississippi Valley State and Arkansas-Pine Bluff.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Mississippi Valley State’s last 11 night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 147 or fewer points.
- Six of the last eight games between Mississippi Valley State and Arkansas-Pine Bluff have produced a total of 148+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Arkansas-Pine Bluff ranks 360th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throws made per game this season (19.4).
- Arkansas-Pine Bluff ranks 356th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (25.9).
- Mississippi Valley State ranks 365th among Division 1 teams for point differential per game this season (-20.1).
- Mississippi Valley State ranks 365th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throws made per game this season (20.7).
Mississippi Valley State vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Prediction
In this Mississippi Valley State vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Prediction, Arkansas-Pine Bluff is coming as -13.5 home favorites. Arkansas-Pine Bluff has been the far better team this season but both teams have identical ATS records, with 12-14 each. Arkansas-Pine Bluff is 1-3 in its last 4 games and 0-4 ATS and are also 1-5 ATS in their last 6 head-to-head matches against Mississippi Valley State, so as ugly as it might sound, the value here lies with the road team. Take Mississippi Valley State and get the +13.5 points.
