Michigan State vs Indiana Prediction 3/1/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article we will formulate a Michigan State vs Indiana prediction for this College Basketball game on Sunday, March 1st at Assembly Hall in Bloomington, Indiana. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Michigan State Spartans Betting Preview

The Michigan State Spartans are 23-5 (13-4) this season after they defeated Purdue by a score of 76-74 in their last game. Michigan State trailed 39-36 at halftime, but they scored 40 points in the second half for the comeback victory. The Spartans shot 53% from the field, 32% on three pointers, and 75% on free throws in the game. Carson Cooper led MSU with 15 points and six rebounds, while Kur Teng added 13 points and three rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, Michigan State defeated Ohio State by a score of 66-60 and UCLA by a score of 82-59. The Spartans have scored 78.4 points per game with 40.6 rebounds and 18.5 assists per game, while they have allowed 66.4 points against per game this season. Jeremy Fears Jr is averaging 14.9 points and 9.1 assists per game, while Jaxon Kohler is averaging 12.1 points and 9.1 rebounds per game for the Spartans. Michigan State is shooting 46.8% from the field, 75.6% on free throws, and 35.0% on three pointers this season. 

Indiana Hoosiers Betting Preview

The Indiana Hoosiers are 17-11 (8-9) this year after they lost to Northwestern by a score of 72-68 in their last game. Indiana led 42-33 at halftime, but they scored just 26 points in the second half in the loss. The Hoosiers shot 46% from the field, 36% on three pointers, and 86% on free throws in the game. Lamar Wilkerson led Indiana with 18 points and five rebounds, while Tayton Conerway added 14 points and three assists in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Indiana lost to Purdue by a score of 93-64 and Illinois by a score of 71-51. The Hoosiers have scored 79.3 points per game with 32.9 rebounds and 17.2 assists per game, while they have allowed 72.1 points against per game this season. Lamar Wilkerson is averaging 21.0 points and 3.6 rebounds per game, while Tucker DeVries is averaging 13.6 points and 5.1 rebounds per game for the Hoosiers. Indiana is shooting 47.1% from the field, 78.5% on free throws, and 34.9% on three pointers this year. 

Why the Indiana Hoosiers will win

• Indiana has won seven of its last eight games at Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall when playing with a rest advantage.
• Michigan State has lost four of its last five games at Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• Michigan State has lost the first half in seven of its last eight games against Conference opponents.

Why the Michigan State Spartans will win

• Michigan State has won each of its last eight March games as a top-15 AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.
• Indiana has lost seven of its last eight games against AP-ranked opponents.
• Michigan State has won the first half in 23 of its last 30 March day games as an AP-ranked team.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Michigan State’s last four road games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 149+ points.
• Each of the last three games between Michigan State and Indiana have produced a total of 141 or fewer points.

Michigan State vs Indiana Prediction 

Michigan State comes into this matchup after a great win over Purdue in their last game, but they will be back on the road here. The Spartans are shooting 47% from the field and they have scored at least 76 points in three of their last five. Indiana has lost three in a row, including an ugly loss to Northwestern. The Hoosiers are shooting 47% from the field, but they have scored 68 or fewer in three straight. Take Michigan State to cover on the road here.

David Racey's Pick: Michigan State -3.5