Mississippi State guard Shawn Jones Jr. (5) swats a shot by LSU guard Cam Carter (5) during a NCAA college basketball first round game at the men’s Southeastern Conference Tournament Wednesday, March 12, 2025, in Nashville, Tenn.
Mark Zaleski / The Tennessean / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Louisiana vs Ball State Prediction 11/3/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

Louisiana (12-21) vs Ball State (14-17)

November 3, 2025 at 07:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Ball State -1.5 — Over/Under: 147.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Louisiana vs Ball State Prediction for this College Basketball game on Monday, November 3rd. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Ball State Cardinals Preview

The Ball State Cardinals finished last season a 14-17 record and were placed 9th in the MAC. The Cardinals were 13-15 against the spread, and 15-13 in over/under, having an 8-7 home record and a 4-9 away record.

Offensively last season, Ball State scored 75.4 points per game, which ranked 135th in the nation, while defensively, they allowed 74.2 points per game (247th). The Cardinals shot with 45.5% from the field (134th), and with 34.5% from beyond the arc (164th). They shot with 70.4% from the free throw line (246th), and grabbed 35.5 rebounds per game (68th), while dishing out 13.1 assists per game (168th) and committing 11.7 turnovers per game (217th).

Jermahri Hill led Ball State in scoring last season, with an average of 15.8 points, 5.1 rebounds and 3.2 assists. Payton Sparks followed with 12.6 points, 7.7 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game, while Mickey Pearson Jr. added 12.2 points, 5.5 rebounds and 1.1 assists per game.

Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns Preview

The Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns finished last season a 12-21 record and were placed 8th in the Sun Belt. The Ragin’ Cajuns were 12-18 against the spread, and 11-19 in over/under, having a 5-12 home record and a 6-5 away record.

Offensively last season, Louisiana scored 65.4 points per game, which ranked 351st in the nation, while defensively, they allowed 73.0 points per game (210th). The Ragin’ Cajuns shot with 39.9% from the field (358th), and with 31% from beyond the arc (352nd). They shot with 72.9% from the free throw line (215th), and grabbed 30.7 rebounds per game (354th), while dishing out 10.3 assists per game (347th) and committing 10.8 turnovers per game (357th).

Mostapha El Moutaouakkil led Louisiana in scoring last season, with an average of 14.5 points, 5.2 rebounds and 1.1 assists. Kentrell Garnett followed with 10.1 points, 2.5 rebounds and 2 assists per game, while Koron Davis added 8.7 points per game.

Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns @ Ball State Cardinals Betting Trends: November 3, 2025

Why the Ball State Cardinals will win

  • Ball State has won 16 of its last 18 games against non-Conference opponents at John E. Worthen Arena.
  • Louisiana has lost 10 of its last 12 games against non-Conference opponents.
  • Louisiana has lost the first half in each of its last six night games against non-Conference opponents.

Why the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns will win

  • Ball State has lost each of its last five night games against non-Conference opponents.
  • Louisiana has won three of its last four games against the Mid-American Conference.
  • Ball State has lost the first half in three of its last four games.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Ball State ranked 7th among Division 1 teams for free throw attempts per game last season (25.3).
  • Ball State ranked 8th among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game last season (17.8).
  • Louisiana ranked 359th among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage last season (44.4%).
  • Louisiana ranked 358th among Division 1 teams for field goal percentage last season (39.9%).

Louisiana vs Ball State Prediction

In this Louisiana vs Ball State Prediction, Ball State is coming as -1.5 home favorites, with the total set at 147.5 points. This will be the first ever meetings between those two squads, with Ball State being the better team last season. The Cardinals had more wins and were superior offensively, scoring 10 points more than the Cajuns, who had the 6th-worst offense in the country, with atrocious shooting percentages. Louisiana was also terrible both in rebounding and in assists made, ranking on the bottom-10 of the nation in both categories and I don’t expect them to pose any threat on the road in a season opener. Take Ball State to win this one comfortably and cover the spread.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Ball State -1.5

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