Dec 12, 2024; Austin, Texas, USA; New Mexico State Aggies guard Christian Cook (3) drives to the basket against Texas Longhorns forward Arthur Kaluma (6) during the first half at Moody Center. Mandatory Credit: Scott Wachter-Imagn Images
Scott Wachter-Imagn Images

Jacksonville State vs New Mexico State Prediction 3/5/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Jacksonville State Gamecocks New Mexico State Aggies
Team Records 14-15 13-15
Spread +5.5 -102 -5.5 -118
Moneyline +215 -265
Total Over 143.5 (-115) Under 143.5 (-105)
Where Pan American Center, Las Cruces, NM
When Thursday, March 5, 2026
Time 09:00 PM EST
TV ESPN+

In this article, we will formulate a Pepperdine vs Portland Prediction for college basketball matchup on Thursday, March 5th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

New Mexico State Aggies Preview

The New Mexico State Aggies have a 13-15 overall record and a 6-12 record in the CUSA. They are coming off an 86-85 road loss against Middle Tennessee and their previous three games were a 93-70 road loss against Western Kentucky, a 67-63 home win against UTEP and a 79-70 road win against Jacksonville State.

Offensively, New Mexico State averages 75.6 points per game, while allowing 72.1 points per game defensively. The Aggies shoot with 43% from the field and grab 37.6 rebounds per game, while dishing out 13.5 assists per game. They average 3.4 blocks per game and 6.6 steals per game defensively.

Jemel Jones leads New Mexico State in scoring, with an average of 17.4 points per game, while shooting with 44% from the field and 84.8% from the free throw line. Julius Mims is the team’s leading rebounder with 8.9 per game. Gabe Pickens leads the team in assists with 3 per game.

Jacksonville State Gamecocks Preview

The Jacksonville State Gamecocks have a 14-15 overall record and a 9-9 record in the CUSA. They are coming off an 81-78 home loss against Liberty and their previous three games were an 80-70 home win against Delaware, an 82-78 road loss against Sam Houston and a 77-71 road loss against Louisiana Tech.

Offensively, Jacksonville State averages 73.2 points per game, while allowing 68.3 points per game defensively. The Gamecocks shoot with 44% from the field and grab 36.3 rebounds per game, while dishing out 12.4 assists per game. They average 3 blocks per game and 6.1 steals per game defensively.

Mostapha El Moutaouakkil leads Jacksonville State in scoring, with an average of 19.2 points per game, while shooting with 45.5% from the field and 65.7% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 7.1 rebounds. Jaye Nash leads the team in assists with 4.1 per game.

Jacksonville State Gamecocks @ New Mexico State Aggies Betting Trends: March 5, 2026

Why the New Mexico State Aggies will win

  • Jacksonville State has lost seven of its last eight road games following a home loss.
  • The home team has won each of New Mexico State’s last three games.
  • New Mexico State has won the first half in five of its last six games.

Why the Jacksonville State Gamecocks will win

  • The road team has won each of the last four games between Jacksonville State and New Mexico State.
  • New Mexico State has lost five of its last six home games.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Jacksonville State’s last five games have produced a total of 148+ points.
  • Five of New Mexico State’s last six games have produced a total of 149+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • New Mexico State ranks 33rd among Division 1 teams for opponent assists per game this season (11.3).
  • New Mexico State ranks 35th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goals made per game this season (23.3).
  • Jacksonville State ranks 25th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goals made per game this season (22.8).
  • Jacksonville State ranks 36th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal percentage this season (41.1%).

Jacksonville State vs New Mexico State Prediction

In this Jacksonville State vs New Mexico State Prediction, New Mexico State is coming as -5 home favorites. Both teams have almost identical overall records this season and both teams have been struggling lately. New Mexico State is 3-7 in its last 10 games and Jacksonville State 1-5 in its last 6, so I trust either team in this matchup. They both have been playing some higher-scoring games lately, with a 10-1 record to the over in their last 11 games combined. Their previous meeting this season also went over the total, so stick with the trend and take the over 142.5 points in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Over 142.5

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