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Illinois State vs Incarnate Word Prediction 3/25/25 College Basketball Picks

Pick details

Incarnate Word (19-16) vs Illinois State (20-14)

March 25, 2025 at 07:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Incarnate Word +6 — Over/Under: 148

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In this article we will formulate an Illinois State vs Incarnate Word prediction for this College Basketball game on Tuesday, March 25th at the Ocean Center in Daytona Beach, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this game in the Semifinals of the CBI. 

Illinois State Redbirds Betting Preview

The Illinois State Redbirds are 20-14 (10-10) this year after they defeated Presbyterian by a score of 78-70 in their last game. Illinois State led 33-30 at halftime and they added 45 points in the second half to pull away with the win. The Redbirds shot 60% from the field, 31.6% on three pointers, and 85.7% on free throws in the game. Chase Walker led Illinois State with 20 points and nine rebounds, while Ty Pence added 17 points and six rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, the Redbirds lost to Belmont by a score of 76-63, but did beat Missouri State by a score of 70-54 before that. Illinois State has won five of their last seven games and they finished tied for fifth in the MVC standings with a 10-10 record. Illinois State has scored 75.6 points per game and they have allowed 71.9 points against per game, while also averaging 32.2 rebounds and 14.5 assists per game this season. Chase Walker is averaging 14.9 points, 6.2 rebounds, and 2.1 assists per game, while Johnny Kinziger is averaging 14.7 points, 3.8 rebounds, and 2.9 assists per game this year. Illinois State is shooting 47.8% from the field, 74.8% on free throws, and 37.5% on three pointers this season. 

Incarnate Word Cardinals Betting Preview

The Incarnate Word Cardinals are 19-16 (9-11) this season after they defeated Jacksonville by a score of 87-71 in their last game. Incarnate Word led 40-32 at halftime and added 47 points in the second half to seal the victory. The Cardinals shot 54.4% from the field, 40% on three pointers, and 60.7% on free throws in the game. Davion Bailey led Incarnate Word with 23 points and four rebounds, while Jalin Anderson added 22 points and five assists in the win. 

Prior to that game, the Cardinals defeated Manhattan by a score of 92-85, but did lose to Nicholls by a score of 74-70 before that. Incarnate Word has won seven of their last nine games and they finished tied for seventh in the Southland standings with a 9-11 record. Incarnate Word has scored 73.5 points per game and they have allowed 69.4 points against per game, while also averaging 35.2 rebounds and 12.6 assists per game this season. Davion Bailey is averaging 16.6 points, 2.9 rebounds, and 1.2 assists per game, while Dylan Hayman is averaging 15.0 points, 5.1 rebounds, and 1.6 assists per game this year. Incarnate Word is shooting 46.5% from the field, 68.1% on free throws, and 37.7% on three pointers this season.

Why Illinois State will beat Incarnate Word 

  • Illinois State has won six of its last seven games against non-Conference opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Incarnate Word ranks 23rd among Division 1 teams for opponent rebounds per game this season (31.1).
  • Incarnate Word ranks T35th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (6.4).
  • Illinois State ranks 15th among Division 1 teams for true shooting percentage this season (60.1%).
  • Illinois State ranks 19th among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (5.3).

David Racey is 31-18 (63%) in College Basketball over the last seven days. Click here for his premium plays for today!

Illinois State vs Incarnate Word Prediction 

Illinois State was able to pickup a pretty easy win against Presbyterian in their game on Sunday and they had the benefit of an off day on Monday. The Redbirds have won three of their last four games and their defense has been pretty strong in those three victories. Incarnate Word has won two games in a row to start this tournament, but this will be their third game in three days. The Cardinals have scored 87 and 92 points in their first two games, but I think the Illinois State defense + rest advantage will be too much. Take Illinois State to cover here. 

David Racey's Pick: Illinois State -6

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