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Florida State vs Virginia Prediction 3/4/25 College Basketball Picks

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Virginia (14-15) vs Florida State (16-13)

March 4, 2025 at 09:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Virginia -4.5 — Over/Under: 137.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Florida State Seminoles and Virginia Cavaliers meet Tuesday in college basketball action at the John Paul Jones Arena. Here’s a Florida State vs Virginia Prediction. This article will include a Florida State vs Virginia Pick.

Florida State Seminoles Betting Preview 

The Florida State Seminoles lost to North Carolina and Duke, and they play SMU next. Florida State has lost three straight games and eight of its last 11 games overall. 

The Florida State Seminoles are averaging 75.5 points on 45.7 percent shooting and allowing 73.2 points on 41.8 percent shooting. Jamir Watkins is averaging 18.5 points and 5.3 rebounds, while Malique Ewin is averaging 14 points and 7.8 rebounds. Taylor Bol Bowen is grabbing 5.3 rebounds and Daquan Davis is grabbing 2.3 rebounds. The Florida State Seminoles are shooting 31.9 percent from beyond the arc and 71.8 percent from the free throw line. The Florida State Seminoles are allowing 32 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.2 rebounds per game.

Virginia Cavaliers Betting Preview 

The Virginia Cavaliers lost to Clemson, beat Wake Forest, and they play Syracuse next. It’s senior night for a Virginia roster that has two seniors. 

The Virginia Cavaliers are averaging 64.9 points on 44.9 percent shooting and allowing 66.6 points on 44 percent shooting. Isaac McKneely is averaging 14.4 points and 2.8 rebounds, while Elijah Saunders is averaging 10.5 points and 0.8 assists. Dai Dai Ames is dishing 2 assists and Andrew Rohde is grabbing 2.9 rebounds. The Virginia Cavaliers are shooting 37.7 percent from beyond the arc and 75.2 percent from the free throw line. The Virginia Cavaliers are allowing 34.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 27.2 rebounds per game.

Why the Virginia Cavaliers will win

  • Virginia has won 37 of its last 42 games at John Paul Jones Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Florida State has lost six of its last seven road games against the Atlantic Coast Conference.
  • Virginia has won the first half in five of its last six night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the Florida State Seminoles will win

  • Virginia has lost four of its last five games at John Paul Jones Arena.
  • Florida State has won 12 of its last 16 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Virginia’s last 10 Tuesday home games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 137 or fewer points.
  • Twelve of Florida State’s last 13 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 140+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Virginia ranks 358th among Division 1 teams for free throw attempts per game this season (13.8).
  • Virginia ranks 357th among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (29.7).
  • Florida State ranks 33rd among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game this season (16.5).
  • Florida State ranks T43rd among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (2.6).

Florida State vs Virginia Injury Report

Virginia is without Rodney Brown Jr., while Tobi Lawal is questionable with an illness. Malique Ewin is questionable for Florida State with an ankle injury. 

Florida State vs Virginia Prediction

Florida State has lost seven of its last 10 games and has been getting beat over the head defensively. FSU has allowed has allowed an average of 95 points during its three-game losing streak. Florida State could also be down Ewin, who is one of the few Seminoles who can put the ball in the hoop. Virginia has issues of its own, but nine of its 14 wins have come at home this season. It’s also senior night for Taine Murray and Bryce Walker, so I’m sure the guys will want to send them off with a victory. This is also a chance for Virginia to jump a seed or two in the standings for the ACC Tournament. We’re not being asked to lay much. Give me Virginia at home for a big conference win.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Virginia -4.5

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