Evansville vs Murray State Prediction 2/21/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article we will formulate an Evansville vs Murray State prediction for this College Basketball game on Saturday, February 21st at the CFSB Center in Murray, Kentucky. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Evansville Purple Aces Betting Preview

The Evansville Purple Aces are 6-21 (2-14) this year after they lost to UIC by a score of 84-46 in their last game. Evansville trailed 38-23 at halftime and they allowed 46 points in the second half in the blowout loss. The Purple Aces shot 33% from the field, 22% on three pointers, and 63% on free throws in the game. Trent Hundley led Evansville with 12 points and three assists, while Joshua Hughes added nine points and six rebounds in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Evansville lost to SIU by a score of 86-60, but did beat Illinois State by a score of 88-80 before that. The Purple Aces have scored 66.6 points per game with 31.7 rebounds and 13.1 assists per game, while they have allowed 75.3 points against per game this season. AJ Casey is averaging 11.7 points and 5.6 rebounds per game, while Leif Moeller is averaging 10.5 points and 3.9 assists per game for the Purple Aces. Evansville is shooting 42.5% from the field, 71.6% on free throws, and 32.2% on three pointers this year. 

Murray State Racers Betting Preview

The Murray State Racers are 19-10 (11-7) this season after they lost to Illinois State by a score of 78-61 in their last game. Murray State trailed 36-28 at halftime and they allowed 42 points in the second half in the loss. The Racers shot 42% from the field, 25% on three pointers, and 57% on free throws in the game. Roman Domon led Murray State with 18 points and three rebounds, while Fred King added 14 points and six rebounds in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Murray State lost to Belmont by a score of 87-70, but did beat Indiana State by a score of 74-72 before that. The Racers have scored 83.5 points per game with 36.8 rebounds and 13.7 assists per game, while they have allowed 79.4 points against per game this season. Javon Jackson is averaging 16.3 points and 2.8 assists per game, while Roman Domon is averaging 13.8 points and 5.0 rebounds per game for the Racers. Murray State is shooting 46.6% from the field, 75.5% on free throws, and 34.5% on three pointers this season. 

Why the Murray State Racers will win

• Evansville has lost 18 of its last 20 games against the Missouri Valley Conference.
• Murray State has won each of its last four games against Evansville at CFSB Center.
• Murray State has won the first half in each of its last six day games at CFSB Center.

Why the Evansville Purple Aces will win

• Murray State has lost three of its last four games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Twenty of Evansville’s last 21 Saturday day road games against the Missouri Valley Conference have produced a total of 146 or fewer points.
• Each of the last five day games between Evansville and Murray State have produced a total of 143 or fewer points.

Evansville vs Murray State Prediction 

Murray State comes into this matchup after losing three of their last four games, with all three losses coming by at least 17 points. The Racers are shooting 47% from the field, but they have allowed at least 78 points in four of their last five. Evansville is just 2-14 in conference play and they have lost their last two games by 38 and 26 points. The Purple Aces have scored 63 points or fewer in four of their last five games and won’t be able to test this below average Murray State defense. Take the Racers here.

David Racey's Pick: Murray State -14.5