Denver vs North Dakota Prediction 3/6/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Denver vs North Dakota Prediction for this Summit League Championship Quarterfinal on Friday, March 6th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

North Dakota Fighting Hawks Preview

The North Dakota Fighting Hawks have a 16-16 overall record and a 10-6 record in the Summit League. They are coming off a 96-63 road loss against North Dakota State and their previous three games were a 91-83 road loss against South Dakota State, an 85-70 home win against Kansas City and an 83-66 home loss against North Dakota State.

Offensively, North Dakota averages 77.1 points per game, while allowing 78.2 points per game defensively. The Fighting Hawks shoot with 44% from the field and grab 33.3 rebounds per game, while dishing out 11.4 assists per game. They average 2.6 blocks per game and 8.7 steals per game defensively.

Greyson Uelmen leads North Dakota in scoring, with an average of 15.4 points per game, while shooting with 47.2% from the field and 81.5% from the free throw line. Eli King is the team’s leading rebounder with 5.3 per game. Anthony Smith III leads the team in assists with 2.5 per game.

Denver Pioneers Preview

The Denver Pioneers have a 15-16 overall record and an 8-8 record in the Summit League. They are coming off a 102-80 road loss against Oral Roberts and their previous three games were an 82-80 home win against St. Thomas, a 90-70 home win against South Dakota and an 83-76 road loss against Omaha.

Offensively, Denver averages 83.3 points per game, while allowing 82.8 points per game defensively. The Pioneers shoot with 48% from the field and grab 34 rebounds per game, while dishing out 11.7 assists per game. They average 2 blocks per game and 4.6 steals per game defensively.

Carson Johnson leads Denver in scoring, with an average of 20.2 points per game, while shooting with 46.1% from the field and 88.1% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 3 assists. Gabe Oldham is the team’s leading rebounder with 7.5 per game.

Denver Pioneers @ North Dakota Fighting Hawks Betting Trends: March 6, 2026

Why the North Dakota Fighting Hawks will win

 
 
North Dakota has won each of its last five night games.
Denver has lost each of its last four games played at neutral venues.
Denver has lost the first half in each of its last nine games played at neutral venues.

Why the Denver Pioneers will win

 
 
North Dakota has lost four of its last five games played at neutral venues.
Denver has won four of its last five night games.
North Dakota has lost the first half in four of its last five games played at neutral venues.

Total Points Facts

 
 
Twenty-five of North Dakota’s last 26 games at a neutral venue have produced a total of 160 or fewer points.
Each of Denver’s last eight games at Denny Sanford PREMIER Center have produced a total of 151 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

 
 
North Dakota ranks 24th among Division 1 teams for turnover percentage this season (12.3%).
North Dakota ranks 25th among Division 1 teams for opponent turnovers per game this season (14.6).
Denver ranks 361st among Division 1 teams for defensive rating this season (120.4).
Denver ranks 357th among Division 1 teams for opponent turnovers per game this season (9.1).

Denver vs North Dakota Prediction

In this Denver vs North Dakota Prediction, Denver is coming as -4.5 favorites. Both teams have almost identical overall records and exactly 16 defeats this season, but North Dakota has been struggling with a 1-3 record in its last 4 games, while Denver is 5-2 both straight up and against the spread in its last 7 games. Both meetings between those two teams this season were high-scoring ones and Denver is 20-8 to the over this season, while North Dakota’s last three games have gone over. Take the over 160.5 points in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Over 160.5