Boise State vs Fresno State Prediction 2/28/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Boise State vs Fresno State Prediction for this college basketball game on Saturday, February 28th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

Fresno State Bulldogs Preview

The Fresno State Bulldogs have a 12-16 overall record and a 6-11 record in the Mountain West conference. They are coming off a 74-70 road loss against Colorado State and their previous three games were an 80-78 home loss against New Mexico, a 92-82 road loss against Wyoming and a 93-63 home win against Air Force.

Offensively, Fresno State averages 74 points per game, while allowing 72.9 points per game defensively. The Bulldogs shoot with 45% from the field and grab 34.6 rebounds per game, while dishing out 13.3 assists per game. They average 1.9 blocks per game and 7 steals per game defensively.

Jake Heidbreder leads Fresno State in scoring, with an average of 17.4 points per game, while shooting with 41.9% from the field and 89% from the free throw line. Wilson Jacques is the team’s leading rebounder with 8.6 per game. Zaon Collins leads the team in assists with 4.6 per game.

Boise State Broncos Preview

The Boise State Broncos have a 17-11 overall record and a 9-8 record in the Mountain West conference. They are coming off a 72-62 home win against Wyoming and their previous three games were an 84-69 home win against San Jose State, a 75-56 road loss against Utah State and an 86-83 home loss against UNLV.

Offensively, Boise State averages 78.4 points per game, while allowing 73.9 points per game defensively. The Broncos shoot with 45% from the field and grab 35.5 rebounds per game, while dishing out 13.7 assists per game. They average 2.4 blocks per game and 4.8 steals per game defensively.

Drew Fielder leads Boise State in scoring, with an average of 14.4 points per game, while shooting with 54.6% from the field and 78.3% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 5.5 rebounds. Dylan Andrews leads the team in assists with 3.4 per game.

Boise State Broncos @ Fresno State Bulldogs Betting Trends: February 28, 2026

Why the Fresno State Bulldogs will win

• The home team has won six of Fresno State’s last seven games.
• The home team has won the first half in each of Boise State’s last four games.

Why the Boise State Broncos will win

• Boise State has won each of its last seven games against Fresno State.
• Fresno State has lost seven of its last eight day games at Save Mart Center following a road loss.
• Boise State has won the first half in each of its last six road games against Fresno State.

Total Points Facts

• Thirteen of the last 14 games between Boise State and Fresno State have produced a total of 142 or fewer points.
• Each of Boise State’s last six games at Save Mart Center have produced a total of 140 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Fresno State ranks 21st among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point percentage this season (30.0%).
• Boise State ranks 7th among Division 1 teams for opponent rebounds per game this season (29.2).
• Boise State ranks 12th among Division 1 teams for free throw percentage this season (78.3%).

Boise State vs Fresno State Prediction     

In this Boise State vs Fresno State Prediction, Boise State is coming as -7 road favorites. Boise State has been the better team this season but Fresno has been superior against the spread, with a 19-8 ATS record. Boise has been in better form lately, with a 7-3 record in its last 10 games, while on the other hand, Fresno is 1-5 in its last 6 games but 7-1 against the spread. They are also 11-4 ATS at home and have a slightly better defense, so I like them as home dogs in this spot. Take Fresno and get the +7 points.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Fresno State +7