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Arkansas vs Missouri Prediction 3/7/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Arkansas Razorbacks | Missouri Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 22-8 | 20-10 |
| Spread | +2.5 -112 | -2.5 -108 |
| Moneyline | +114 | -135 |
| Total | Over 159.5 (-112) | Under 159.5 (-108) |
| Where | Mizzou Arena, Columbia, MO | |
| When | Saturday, March 7, 2026 | |
| Time | 12:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN | |
Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Preview
The Arkansas Razorbacks beat Texas and lost to Florida. Arkansas has won 10 of its last 14 games.
The Arkansas Razorbacks are averaging 90.3 points on 50.3 percent shooting and allowing 79.8 points on 45.3 percent shooting. Darius Acuff Jr. is averaging 22.2 points and 3 rebounds, while Meleek Thomas is averaging 14.9 points and 2.4 assists. Trevon Brazile is the third double-digit scorer and Billy Richmond III is grabbing 3.9 rebounds. The Arkansas Razorbacks are shooting 38 percent from beyond the arc and 74.9 percent from the free throw line. The Arkansas Razorbacks are allowing 31.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.1 rebounds per game.
Missouri Tigers Betting Preview
The Missouri Tigers beat Mississippi State and lost to Oklahoma. Missouri has won 6 of its last 9 games.
The Missouri Tigers are averaging 79.8 points on 49.1 percent shooting and allowing 74.8 points on 43.2 percent shooting. Mark Mitchell is averaging 17.4 points and 5.2 rebounds, while Jayden Stone is averaging 13.7 points and 2 assists. Trent Pierce is the third double-digit scorer and Anthony Robinson II is dishing 2.9 assists. The Missouri Tigers are shooting 35.1 percent from beyond the arc and 68.5 percent from the free throw line. The Missouri Tigers are allowing 36.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.1 rebounds per game.
Why the Missouri Tigers will win
- Missouri has won each of its last 10 games at Mizzou Arena when playing with a rest advantage.
- Arkansas has lost each of its last four day games at Mizzou Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- The home team has won the first half in each of Arkansas’ last four games.
Why the Arkansas Razorbacks will win
- Arkansas has won each of its last six games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Missouri has lost each of its last four games against teams with an AP ranking of 20.
- Arkansas has won the first half in each of its last six games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Arkansas’ last six games has produced a total of 163+ points.
- Eleven of Missouri’s last 13 day games against AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 158 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Missouri ranks 26th among Division 1 teams for field goal percentage this season (49.1%).
- Missouri ranks 37th among Division 1 teams for free throw attempts per game this season (24.2).
- Arkansas ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for turnover percentage this season (10.7%).
- Arkansas is one of only three teams to reach the Sweet 16 in each of its last four NCAA Tournament appearances.
Arkansas vs Missouri Prediction
Arkansas is probably the better team and is 20-10 ATS on the season. However, Missouri at home is a different beast, where it’s 15-2 SU. We’ve seen recent upsets at home over Tennessee and Vanderbilt. It’s senior night and a chance to make another statement to the committee. I know I preach about grabbing points with the better team, but sometimes where the game is played and the spot matter. We’re laying a bucket. I’ll lean toward Missouri at home.
