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Arizona State vs Arizona Prediction 3/4/25 College Basketball Picks
Pick details
Arizona (19-10) vs Arizona State (13-16)
March 4, 2025 at 11:00 PM EST
The Line: Betting Odds: Arizona -17.5 — Over/Under: 155.5
The Arizona State Sun Devils and the Arizona Wildcats meet Tuesday in college basketball action from the McKale Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Arizona State vs. Arizona prediction.
Matchup History
The Arizona Wildcats won the first meeting this season at Arizona State by a final score of 81-72, making it four straight wins and nine wins in the last ten meetings while Arizona’s covered the spread in four straight meetings as well.
Arizona State Recap
The Arizona State Sun Devils come into this game looking to bounce back from a 99-73 loss at the hands of Utah last time out to sit at 13-16 on the year. After this game, Arizona State will head home for a rematch with Texas Tech to close out the regular season.
Sun Devils Drop Back-To-Back Games & 8 Of Last 9
Alston Mason leads the Sun Devils in scoring and assists with 12.7 PPG and 4 APG along with 2.6 RPG while Basheer Jihad has 12 PPG with 5.4 RPG on the year. Joson Sanon has 11.4 PPG with 3.2 RPG while Adam Miller has 10.2 PPG to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Arizona State so far this season. Jayden Quaintance also has 9.4 PPG with a team-high 7.9 RPG to lead the Sun Devils in rebounding but is dealing with an injury and may miss this game. As a team, Arizona State is averaging 73.9 PPG on 44.1% shooting from the field, 36% from three, and 71.8% from the foul line this season.
Why the Arizona State Sun Devils will win
- The road team has won four of Arizona State’s last five games.
Arizona Recap
The Arizona Wildcats come into this game looking to bounce back from an 84-67 loss to Iowa State last time out to sit at 19-10 on the year. After this game, Arizona will close out the regular season with a road date against Kansas.
Wildcats Drop Four Of Their Last Six Games
Caleb Love leads Arizona in scoring with 16.2 PPG along with 4.3 RPG and 3.5 APG while Jaden Bradley has 11.6 PPG and 3.8 APG of his own to lead Arizona in assists. KJ Lewis has 10.4 PPG with 4.6 RPG and 3 APG to cap off the trio of double-digit scorers for Arizona so far this year while Tobe Awaka has 8.3 PPG and a team-high 7.9 RPG to lead the Wildcats on the glass. Anthony Dell’Orso also has 7.7 PPG and Trey Townsend has 8 PPG and 3.9 RPG so far this season. Henri Veesaar also has 8.9 PPG with 4.9 RPG as well on the year. As a team, Arizona is averaging 81.1 PPG on 46.6% shooting from the field, 31.2% from three-point range, and 78% from the foul line this season.
Why the Arizona Wildcats will win
- Arizona has won 40 of its last 41 night games at McKale Memorial Center against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Arizona State has lost eight of its last nine games.
Total Points Facts
- Six of Arizona’s last seven night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at McKale Memorial Center have produced a total of 157+ points.
- Eleven of Arizona State’s last 14 night games against AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 152 or fewer points.
Arizona State vs. Arizona Prediction
I’m on Arizona in this game. Arizona State is just super short-handed and I think the Sun Devils would have a hard time competing in this matchup, even at full strength. Senior night, in Tucson, in a rivalry game against an Arizona team off of a loss, it’s just a really tough situation to feel comfortable backing Arizona State in. I’ll back Arizona here.