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Texas vs Arkansas Prediction 2/26/25 College Basketball Picks

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Arkansas (16-11) vs Texas (16-11)

February 26, 2025 at 09:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Arkansas -3.5 — Over/Under: 147.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Texas vs Arkansas Prediction for this college basketball game on Wednesday,  February 26th, at the Budd Walton Arena. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Longhorns’ recent form and recent player performance 

-The Razorbacks’ recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Texas

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Arkansas 

-Recent betting trends in games played between Texas and Arkansas

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Longhorns and Razorbacks. 

What a Bad Hire for Texas

Rodney Terry looked like a bad higher when the Longhorns hired him, and now it seems like even worse with the Longhorns moved over to the SEC. Texas has lost four of the last five games, with the only win coming against the Kentucky Wildcats two games ago. In the last game against South Carolina, Texas scored 69 points, but the defense gave up 84 points, leading to the defeat. They were down 40-22 at halftime, and in the second half, they couldn’t bounce back. The only real bright spot for Texas was Tre Johnson, who scored 29 points, three rebounds, and one assist. 

Texas still does sit with a 16-11 record, but away from home, they have gone only 3-5. Texas has leaned on their offense all season, averaging 78.3 points, while their defense is giving up 69.8 points per game. The offense is ranked 72nd, while the defense is ranked 114th. In this game, if they want to succeed, they will need the defense to step up in a major way. Chendall Weaver has missed the last five games with a hip injury and is questionable for this game. 

Why Texas Will Beat Arkansas

  • Texas has won 35 of its last 43 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • The road team has won the first half in seven of Texas’ last eight games.

Arkansas Needs This Win

With the struggles in conference play, every win is vital for Arkansas, and this is one they need to pick up, especially at home. In the last game against Missouri, Arkansas scored 92 points, which was enough for the seven-point victory. The Razorbacks shot 54.7 percent from the field while Missouri shot only 44.1 percent against them. Zvonimir Ivisc was the top scorer, putting up 20 points and four rebounds. 

Arkansas sits with a 16-11 record, and at home, they have gone 11-14. Arkansas is averaging 76.1 points per game, and although the defense has been inconsistent at times, this game is going to be about the offense getting out to a fast start. Against this Texas defense, the faster the pace of this game is, the better the chance that Arkansas will come out ahead. Adou Thiero is averaging 15.6 points while shooting 54.8 percent from the field and 26.2 percent from behind the three-point line. The problem for Arkansas, though, is he has been ruled out for this game. Arkansas will face South Carolina and Vanderbilt following this one.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Texas’ last five games has produced a total of 148+ points.
  • Each of Arkansas’ last three night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at Bud Walton Arena have produced a total of 133 or fewer points.

Texas vs Arkansas Prediction

It might not be a popular play, but we will roll with the underdogs here. Texas has been inconsistent, but so has Arkansas, and that will continue to be the case again here. Arkansas’s defense is giving up 69.4 points per game, and this Texas offense has the scorers. Arkansas is also going to be without Theiro and that is going to be a major problem. Texas might not shut out the Arkansas offense, but the Razorbacks offense will take a hit with Thiero not playing. Texas keeps it close. Back Texas against the spread. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: Texas +3.5

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