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Louisiana vs Troy Prediction 2/20/25 College Basketball Picks

Pick details

Troy (17-9) vs Louisiana (9-18)

February 20, 2025 at 07:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Troy -15 — Over/Under:

(Get latest betting odds)

The Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns and the Troy Trojans meet Thursday in college basketball action from Trojan Arena. Here’s a Louisiana vs Troy prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Louisiana vs Troy pick. We will examine: 

The Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns’ recent form and player performance

The Troy Trojans’ recent form and player performance 

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Troy Trojans

Recent betting trends in games played between Louisiana and Troy

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Louisiana vs Troy game

Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns Betting Preview

It’s been a rough season for the Cajuns so far. They’re yet to record consecutive wins. Louisiana opened on a 1-8 run with losses to Kent State, Houston, Rice, Liberty, George Washington, UAB, Nicholls, and LA Tech in that time. Louisiana managed to win five of their next 10 games, taking out SE Louisiana, App State, Coastal Carolina, and LA Monroe (twice). Since then it’s been a 3-5 stretch with wins over Texas State, Northern Illinois, and Marshall. The losses otherwise have come versus Texas State, Southern Miss, South Alabama, Georgia Southern, and Troy. That gives the Ragin’ Cajuns a 9-18 overall run through 27 games so far. 

In the Marshall matchup on Saturday, the Cajuns came out of the break with a 35-30 advantage. Louisiana kept it going from there on a 44-38 run and took the eventual win 79-68. Leading the team in scoring was Mostapha El Moutaouakkil with 23 points, eight boards, two assists, and two steals. Christian Wright added 20 points with two rebounds, while Kentrell Garnett put up 11 points with six rebounds and one assist in 36 minutes of action. Tops off the bench was Jeremiah Evans with six points and seven rebounds in 12 minutes. 

Troy Trojans Betting Preview

Over on the Troy side, they’ve had a couple of bad runs this year but overall they’re doing fairly well. The Trojans opened on a 5-4 stretch with losses to Arkansas, Oregon, Merrimack, and Houston in that time. Troy would beat Middle Georgia State, LaGrange, Georgia State, App State, and Marshall before falling to Texas State, Arkansas State, and South Alabama in their next four outings. Since then Troy is 6-2 over their last eight games. The losses have come versus James Madison and Miami OH. The wins otherwise have been against South Alabama, Southern Miss, Georgia Southern, LA Monroe, Louisiana, and Arkansas State. Overall that gives the Trojans a 17-9 record so far through their first 26 games of the season. 

Matched up against Arkansas State in a road game Saturday, the Trojans were down 34-30 going into the second half. Troy hit a 41-36 run the rest of the way however, posting the comeback win at the end 71-70. Jackson Fields was the team’s lead scorer with 20 points, eight boards, and three steals in 23 minutes on the floor. Both Thomas Dowd (four rebounds) and Tayton Conerway (four assists; four rebounds) added 13 points apiece in the win. 

Why the Troy Trojans will win

  • Troy has won each of its last four games at Trojan Arena.
  • Louisiana has lost three of its last four games against the Sun Belt Conference.

Why the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns will win

  • Louisiana has won four of its last five night games at Trojan Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Troy has lost the first half in three of its last four games.

Louisiana vs Troy Prediction 

I’ll stay with Troy, but the line’s probably too thick to mess with. The Trojans are coming off a dramatic road win over a pretty good Arkansas State team, despite notching just 38.6 percent shooting and a 43-35 rebounding deficit alongside 11 turnovers. It was still a victory though, and Troy will be glad to get back home for two outings following a four-game road trip. 

The last time these teams met up was one of those road games, a 74-56 win for Troy on February 12. The Trojans shot 46.4 percent from the field in that one with a 42-20 rebounding edge. It was a sloppy game though, with Troy posting 15 of the 29 total turnovers for 16 Cajuns points. Troy has plenty to clean up in the home rematch but should be in good shape. 

Andrew Jett's Pick: Troy Trojans -15

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