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Florida vs Mississippi State Prediction 2/11/25 College Basketball Picks

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Mississippi State (17-6) vs Florida (20-3)

February 11, 2025 at 07:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Mississippi State +1.5 — Over/Under: 152

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Florida vs Mississippi State Prediction for this college basketball game on Tuesday, February 11th, at the Humphrey Coliseum. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Gators’ recent form and recent player performance 

-The Bulldogs’ recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Florida 

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Mississippi State

-Recent betting trends in games played between Florida and Mississippi State

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Gators and Bulldogs. 

When these two faced off in January of last year, it was Florida that was able to secure the 79-70 victory. 

Florida Is For Real

Florida is for real and they are coming off back-to-back impressive wins. Three games ago, against Tennessee, the offense managed only 44 points, and some questions were asked. Two games ago against Vanderbilt, Florida was able to secure 86-75, and in the last game against Auburn, they were able to secure a 90-81 victory. At halftime, they were up 48-38, and in the second half, they continued the domination. Florida shot 48.4 percent from the field and 39.4 percent from behind the three-point line. Walter Clayton Jr had a strong game, putting up 19 points, nine assists, and six rebounds. 

Florida comes into this game with a 20-3 record overall and they have gone 16-7 against the spread. The over has hit in nine of the games. Florida on the season is averaging 83.7 points while their defense is giving up 66.4 points per game. The offense is ranked 16th in the league, while the defense is ranked 44th. One reason Florida has found so much success is because of its balanced attack. There are four different players that are averaging 11 points per game. Walter Clayton Jr is averaging 17.5 points while shooting 45.4 percent from the field and 36.6 percent from behind the three-point line. 

Why Florida Will Beat Mississippi State

  • Florida has won seven of its last eight night games against the Southeastern Conference.
  • Mississippi State has lost each of its last five night games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents.
  • The road team has won the first half in each of Mississippi State’s last four games.

Mississippi State Has Been Inconsistent

Mississippi State has been inconsistent and the last three games have been a perfect example of that. Three games ago against Alabama they lost 88-84. Two games ago against Missouri, they played one of their worst games of the season, losing 88-61. In the last game against Georgia, it wasn’t the prettiest game but they were able to secure the 76-75 victory. At halftime, they were up 40-32 and in the second half, although they didn’t play as strong, they still ended up holding on for the victory. Josh Hubbard had a strong game putting up 16 points, six assists, and three rebounds. 

Mississippi State comes into this game with a 17-6 record overall but they have gone only 10-13 against the spread. This feels like a team that could make a run in the NCAA tournament or be bounced in the first round, and neither would be all that surprising. The Bulldogs are averaging 79.7 points while their defense is giving up 71.3 points per game. The offense is ranked 57th in the league while the defense is ranked 178th. Josh Hubbard is averaging 17.5 points while shooting 40.3 percent from the field. Mississippi State is going to need a balanced offensive effort here to find success.

Florida vs Mississippi State Prediction

Give me Florida here. Remember just a couple of games ago when Mississippi State was knocked off 88-61 by Missouri? Now, it might not be that bad, but it’s going to be close. Florida has just come off back-to-back games where they have run up the score and they are going to have too much success again. Florida just has too many offensive playmakers, and they are going to use that to cruise here. Mississippi State isn’t going to have enough success to cover the spread. Back Florida against the spread. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: Florida -1.5

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