Chattanooga vs The Citadel Prediction College Basketball Picks 1/4/25

Pick details

The Citadel (5-7) vs Chattanooga (8-5)

January 4, 2025 at 01:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: The Citadel +12 — Over/Under: 142.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Chattanooga vs The Citadel Prediction for this college basketball game on Saturday, January 4th, at the McAlister Fieldhouse. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Mocs’ recent form and recent player performance 

-The Bulldogs’ recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving The Citadel

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Chattanooga 

-Recent betting trends in games played between The Citadel and Chattanooga

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Mocs and Bulldogs. 

Can Chattanooga Bounce Back?

Chattanooga is really struggling heading into this game and they have lost two games in a row. Two games ago against Indiana, they lost 74-65 and in the last game against Mercer, they ended up losing 99-94. The Mocs were able to force overtime, but in that period they gave up 14 points and that led to the loss. Forward Frank Champion had quite the game putting up 24 points, seven rebounds, and five assists. Guard Bash Wieland also put up 19 points, eight rebounds, and two assists. Three games ago against Tennessee Wesleyan, the Mocs scored 99 points and they won that game in blowout fashion. 

The Mocs are averaging 76.4 points while their defense is giving up 72.5 points per game. The offense is ranked 157th in the league while the defense is ranked 221st. They are shooting 45.1 percent from the field which is 183rd in all college basketball. In this game, if Chattanooga wants to find success, they are going to need to get the offense out to a fast start. Trey Bonham is the top scorer averaging 13.4 points while shooting 43.5 percent from the field. Chattanooga will meet UNC Greensboro, VMI, and Wofford after this game.

Why Chattanooga Will Beat The Citadel

The Citadel has lost 21 of its last 24 games against Conference opponents.

Chattanooga has won five of its last six day games against The Citadel.

Chattanooga has won the first half in 14 of its last 15 games against The Citadel.

The Citadel Is Ice Cold

The Citadel is ice cold heading into this game and they have lost four games in a row. The Citadel faced off against Samford in the last game and the offense scored only 56 points, while the defense gave up 86 points, and that led to the 30-point defeat. Colby McAlister put up 12 points, seven rebounds, and one assist. Guard Brody Fox also put up 10 points, two rebounds, and two assists. The offense wasn’t good enough, but an even bigger problem was that defense that couldn’t slow down anything. Overall the Citadel is averaging 72.1 points while their defense is giving up 73.4 points per game. 

The offense is ranked 267th in the league while the defense is ranked 245th in the league. They are averaging 28.1 shot attempts per game from behind the three-point line which is 46th in college basketball. One major issue for this team has been the shooting from the charity stripe. They are averaging only 58.2 percent from the free-throw line. Guard Brody Fox has been the top player for The Citadel averaging 16.2 points while shooting 55.9 percent from the field. He is the only player for this team that is averaging double figures. There are no injury concerns for the CItadel. 

Why the Citadel Will Beat Chattanooga

Chattanooga has lost each of its last four day games against the Southern Conference.

The home team has won five of The Citadel’s last six games.

Chattanooga has lost the first half in three of its last four day games against Conference opponents.

Chattanooga vs The Citadel Prediction

There is going to be no shortage scoring of in this game. The Citadel is averaging 72.1 points per game and they are going to have no issue running up the score here. The Mocs offense has been even better, and Chattanooga is averaging 76.4 points per game. Look for both The Citadel and Chattanooga to also have no interest in playing any sort of defense, and that is going to be the difference here as this game is going to end up being a shootout. Back the over to cash here with ease. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: Over

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