The Citadel vs Samford Prediction College Basketball Picks 1/1/25

Pick details

Samford (10-3) vs The Citadel (5-6)

January 1, 2025 at 07:30 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Samford -19.5 / The Citadel +19.5 — Over/Under: 154.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Citadel Bulldogs and the Samford Bulldogs meet Wednesday in college basketball action from the McKale Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Citadel vs. Samford prediction.

The Citadel Recap

The Citadel Bulldogs come into this one looking to bounce back after ending up on the wrong side of a 105-53 rout at the hands of Vanderbilt last time out to fall to 5-6 on the year. After this game, the Citadel will head home for a conference date with the Chattanooga Mocs.

Bulldogs Lose Third Straight

Brody Fox leads the Citadel in scoring with 16.8 PPG along with 4.5 RPG and 2.5 APG as the lone double-digit scorer for the Citadel so far this season. Keynan Davis has 9.8 PPG with 3.5 RPG while Cameron Glover and Sola Adebisi each have 8.5 PPG with Adebisi logging a team-high 6.9 RPG to lead the Citadel in rebounding so far this season. Colby McAllister has 7.5 PPG with 3 RPG while Paxton Davidson has 6.9 PPG with 3.3 RPG and a team-high 3.1 APG to lead the Bulldogs in the assist department up to this point in the year. As a team, the Citadel is averaging 73.5 PPG on 45.7% shooting from the field, 29.8% from behind the three-point line, and 58.9% from the foul line so far this season.

Samford Recap

The Samford Bulldogs come into this game looking to add on to their 97-90 win over Alabama A&M last time out to improve to 10-3 on the year. After this game, Samford will head out on the road for a date with the Western Carolina Catamounts.

Samford Looking To Build Momentum

Trey Fort leads the Bulldogs in scoring with 14.7 PPG along with 3.8 RPG while Jaden Brownell has 14.2 PPG with 4.2 RPG on the year. Collin Holloway has 11.3 PPG with a team-high 4.4 RPG to lead Samford in rebounding while Rylan Jones has 10.2 PPG with 3.1 RPG and a team-high 6 APG to lead the Bulldogs in the assist department up to this point in the year and to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Samford so far this season. Riley Allenspach also has 8.5 PPG with 2.9 RPG as well this season. As a team, Samford is averaging 89 PPG on 47.9% shooting from the field, 38% from three, and 70% from the foul line this season.

Why the Samford Bulldogs will win

  • Samford has won each of its last 31 night games at Pete Hanna Center.
  • The Citadel has lost each of its last seven road night games against the Southern Conference.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Samford’s last 10 night games has produced a total of 158+ points.
  • Nine of The Citadel’s last 10 road night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 151 or fewer points.

The Citadel vs. Samford Prediction

I’m on Samford here. I just trust Samford’s offense to blow the doors off of the Citadel, more than I trust the Citadel to do enough to keep themselves in this game. It’s become abundantly clear with the Citadel that this team lacks the prowess on defense to keep themselves in a game like this, and I think this is going to be a game where the Citadel struggles to slow down a potent Samford offense. Give me Samford in a Bulldog Beatdown.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Samford -19.5

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