Wisconsin-Green Bay vs Evansville Prediction College Basketball Picks 11/22/24

Pick details

Evansville (1-4) vs Wisconsin-Green Bay (2-3)

November 22, 2024 at 08:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Evansville +1.5 / Wisconsin-Green Bay -1.5 — Over/Under: 152

(Get latest betting odds)

The Green Bay Phoenix are visiting the Evansville Purple Aces on Friday, November 22nd at the Ford Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Green Bay Phoenix vs Evansville Purple Aces Prediction.

Evansville Purple Aces Preview

The Evansville Purple Aces have a 1-4 record this season and are coming off a 30-80 loss to Ohio State. The Aces are 0-4 against the spread, and 2-2 in over/under, while having a 1-1 home record.

Offensively, Evansville is averaging 66.6 points per game, which ranks 324th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 76.2 points per game (273rd). The Aces shoot 41.6% from the field (299th) and 30.2% from beyond the arc (266th). The Aces shoot 60.5% from the free-throw line (340th) and are grabbing 30.6 rebounds per game (346th).

Gabriel Pozzato leads Evansville in scoring this season, with an average of 17 points and 3 rebounds, while Cameron Haffner adds 12.8 points.

Green Bay Phoenix Preview

The Green Bay Phoenix have a 2-3 record this season and are coming off an 82-57 win over SIU Edwardsville. The Phoenix is 4-1 against the spread, and 3-2 in over/under while having a 1-2 road record. 

Offensively, Green Bay is averaging 77.2 points per game, which ranks 189th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 77.6 points per game (304th). The Phoenix shoot 45.8% from the field (172nd) and 35.5% from beyond the arc (129th). The Phoenix shoot 80.7% from the free-throw line (16th) and are grabbing 30.8 rebounds per game (344th).

Anthony Roy leads Green Bay in scoring with an average of 27.4 points, 5.6 rebounds, and 3.8 assists, while Marcus Hall adds 15.8 points and a team-high 6 rebounds. Green Bay will face Ohio State, Campbell, and IUPUI following this game.

Why the Evansville Purple Aces will win

  • Green Bay has lost each of its last 11 Friday night games.
  • Evansville has won each of its last six games against the Horizon League.
  • Green Bay has lost the first half in 17 of its last 20 night games against non-conference opponents.

Why the Green Bay Phoenix will win

  • Green Bay has won each of its last seven games following a home win.
  • Evansville has lost each of its last five games against non-conference opponents.
  • Evansville has lost the first half in each of its last three night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Evansville’s last seven night games against non-conference opponents have produced a total of 143 or fewer points.
  • Twenty-nine of Green Bay’s last 32 games against non-conference opponents have produced a total of 150 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Evansville ranks T32nd among Division 1 teams for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (29.8).
  • Green Bay ranks 16th among Division 1 teams for free throw percentage this season (80.7%).
  • Green Bay ranks 23rd among Division 1 teams for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (30.8).

Green Bay Phoenix vs Evansville Purple Aces Prediction

Evansville leads Green Bay 2-1 wins in their previous three meetings, with a perfect 3-0 against the spread. In this Green Bay Phoenix vs Evansville Purple Aces Prediction, Green Bay is coming as a -1.5 road favorite. I cannot make a case for Evansville, even as home dogs in this one. They are bottom-40 in the nation offensively, and bottom-100 in shooting percentages, while haven’t covered the spread in any of their game this season. The Aves are coming off a horrible game in Ohio State where they managed to score just 30 points, and I don’t think this is the spot where they bounce back. The value here lies with the road favorite, so pick the Green Bay Phoenix and lay the points on the road.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Green Bay Phoenix -1.5

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