Pennsylvania vs Villanova Prediction College Basketball Picks 11/19/24

Pick details

Villanova (2-3) vs Pennsylvania (2-2)

November 19, 2024 at 07:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Villanova -13 / Pennsylvania +13 — Over/Under: 141.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Penn Quakers are visiting the Villanova Wildcats on Tuesday, November 19th at the William B. Finneran Pavilion. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Penn Quakers vs Villanova Wildcats Prediction.

Villanova Wildcats Preview

The Villanova Wildcats have a 2-3 record this season and are coming off a 60-70 loss to Virginia. The Wildcats are 1-4 against the spread, and 5-0 in over/under while having a 2-1 home record.

Offensively, Villanova is averaging 76.4 points per game, which ranks 216th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 72 points per game (215th). The Wildcats shoot 45.9% from the field (176th) and 35% from beyond the arc (156th). The Wildcats shoot 80.7% from the free-throw line (23rd) and are grabbing 33.8 rebounds per game (210th).

Eric Dixon leads Villanova in scoring this season, with an average of 24.8 points and a team-high 8.3 rebounds. Wooga Poplar adds 13.7 points and 7.2 rebounds. Villanova will take on Maryland after this game. 

Penn Quakers Preview

The Penn Quakers have a 2-1 record this season and are coming off a 77-71 win over Utah Valley. The Hawks are 1-1 against the spread, and 1-1 in over/under while having a 0-1 road record.

Offensively, Penn is averaging 69.2 points per game, which ranks 299th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 73 points per game (157th). The Quakers shoot 40.5% from the field (333rd) and 32.7% from beyond the arc (225th). The Quakers shoot 66.3% from the free-throw line (282nd) and are grabbing 31.2 rebounds per game (186th).

Ethan Roberts leads Penn in scoring this season, with an average of 15.8 points and 5.8 rebounds, while Sam Brown adds 13.3 points and 4.8 rebounds. Pennsylvania will play against Navy following this one.

Why the Villanova Wildcats will win

  • Villanova has won 66 of its last 70 night games at Finneran Pavilion against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Penn has lost four of its last five road night games against non-conference opponents.
  • Villanova has won the first half in each of its last eight Tuesday night home games against non-conference opponents.

Why the Penn Quakers will win

  • Penn has won each of its last three games following a home loss.
  • Villanova has lost three of its last four games.

Total Points Facts

  • Six of Penn’s last seven road night games against non-conference opponents have produced a total of 130 or fewer points.
  • Eleven of Villanova’s last 13 night games have produced a total of 138 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Villanova ranks 4th among Division 1 teams for opponent rebounds per game this season (25.8).
  • Villanova ranks 355th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw percentage this season (80.5%).
  • Penn ranks T41st among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (5.0).
  • Penn ranks T44th among Division 1 teams for turnovers per game this season (9.8).

Penn Quakers vs Villanova Wildcats Prediction

Villanova leads Penn 8-2 wins in their last 10 meetings, but going for just 3-7 against the spread. In their most recent meeting last season, Penn won at home, 76-72. In this Penn Quakers vs Villanova Wildcats Prediction, Villanova is coming as -13 home favorites, and rightfully so. The Wildcats score 7.2 more points per game than the Quakers and have a similar defense. But the Quakers are struggling with their shooting, as they rank in the bottom 50 in the nation in field goal percentage. It is hard to make a case here for the Penn Quakers as road dogs, so I’m taking the Villanova Wildcats to get the job done at home.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Villanova Wildcats -13

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