Texas A&M vs Auburn Prediction College Football Picks 11/23/24

Pick details

Auburn (4-6) vs Texas A&M (8-2)

November 23, 2024 at 07:30 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Auburn +2.5 / Texas A&M -2.5 — Over/Under: 49.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Texas A&M Aggies and the Auburn Tigers meet Saturday in college football action from Jordan-Hare. Here’s a Texas A&M vs Auburn prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Texas A&M vs Auburn pick. We will examine:

The Texas A&M Aggies’ recent form and player performance

The Auburn Tigers’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Texas A&M Aggies

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Auburn Tigers

Recent betting trends in games played between Texas A&M and Auburn

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Texas A&M vs Auburn game

Texas A&M Aggies Betting Preview

The Aggies lost to Notre Dame in their opener this year but then took out McNeese State, Florida, Bowling Green, Arkansas, Missouri, Mississippi State, and LSU before another loss to South Carolina. The week after that was a bye for Texas A&M.

In last weekend’s matchup with New Mexico State, the Aggies had a few difficulties. Texas A&M scored in every quarter during a 38-3 blowout win. Marcel Reed threw for 268 yards, two TDs, and an interception. Leading rusher Amari Daniels had five carries for 84 yards and a TD.

Auburn Tigers Betting Preview

Over on the Auburn side, they beat Alabama A&M and New Mexico during a 2-1 start. The Tigers then fell to Arkansas, Oklahoma, Georgia, and Missouri before a win over Kentucky. In their November 2 matchup, Auburn lost 17-7 versus Vanderbilt.

In their Saturday game with LA-Monroe, the Tigers notched a blowout win of their own. Auburn was up 24-0 by halftime and cruised to a 48-14 victory in the end. Payton Thorne had 286 yards and five touchdowns. Cam Coleman caught three of the scores among his eight grabs for 100 yards.

Why the Auburn Tigers will win

  • Texas A&M has lost each of its last three November games as a road favorite.
  • Auburn has won four of its last five November games against Texas A&M.
  • Texas A&M has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Auburn has covered the spread in five of its last six November games as a home underdog against top-15 AP-ranked teams.

Why the Texas A&M Aggies will win

  • Auburn has lost each of its last 13 games as an underdog against AP-ranked teams.
  • Texas A&M has won eight of its last nine games.
  • The favorite has covered the spread in six of the last seven games between Texas A&M and Auburn.
  • Auburn has failed to cover the spread in each of its last three games against conference opponents at Jordan-Hare Stadium.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Texas A&M’s last five road games against conference opponents has gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of Auburn’s last four games against conference opponents has gone UNDER the total points line.

Texas A&M vs Auburn Prediction

I’ll stay with Auburn, but you could certainly argue this one either way. The Tigers made short work of LA-Monroe on Saturday, posting 507 yards (203 rushing), 26 first downs, and a nice 12-of-17 on third-down tries. Auburn really needed a good showing after a 10-point home loss to Vanderbilt, and they got it. The question is, can the Tigers maintain their momentum?

As for Texas A&M, on Saturday they demolished New Mexico State with 565 yards (209 rushing), 7.3 yards per play, and 28 first downs. The Aggies have put up 34 or more points in four of the last five games, so Auburn is likely going to have to get moving quickly in order to maintain a cover/win pace here. It’ll be a good one to watch, with both teams coming off confidence-building blowout wins.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Auburn Tigers +2.5

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